Sat, Apr 11 2026 • 16:00 •
Stade Pen Ar Guéar N°1
Expected Goals
0.71 (league 1.13)
1.31 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 20.1% | 28.8% | 50.8% |
best score tips
0 - 1
17.5%
0 - 0
13.3%
1 - 1
12.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Pontivy GSI | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Saint-Pierre Milizac | 0 | 13.3% | 17.5% | 11.4% | 5.0% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 9.4% | 12.3% | 8.1% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 3.3% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Saint-Pierre Milizac | Pontivy GSI |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 13% | 87% |
| Attack | 29% | 57% |
| Defense | 29% | 79% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
64%
FT probability
2.5+
45%
FT probability
3.5+
32%
FT probability
BTTS
72%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Saint-Pierre Milizac | Pontivy GSI | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 8 | 9 | 17 | 8 | 10 | 18 |
| Wins | 38% | 33% | 35% | 75% | 60% | 67% |
| Draws | 25% | 33% | 29% | 13% | 40% | 28% |
| Loses | 38% | 33% | 35% | 13% | 0% | 6% |
Form: Saint-Pierre Milizac: LLWWWDDWLWWDLDLDL • Pontivy GSI: DWDWWWDWWLWWDWWWWD
League goals
| Metric | Saint-Pierre Milizac | Pontivy GSI | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 8 | 10 | 18 | 12 | 15 | 27 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 8 | 14 | 22 | 5 | 8 | 13 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Saint-Pierre Milizac | Pontivy GSI | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 82% | 82% | 89% | 56% |
| 1.5 | 18% | 35% | 44% | 17% |
| 2.5 | 6% | 6% | 6% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 6% | 6% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 6% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Saint-Pierre Milizac | Pontivy GSI | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Saint-Pierre Milizac | Pontivy GSI |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Saint-Pierre Milizac | Pontivy GSI |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 4 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 2-3 | 5-2 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 4-0 | 1-2 | — |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 5 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Saint-Pierre Milizac | Pontivy GSI |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 13% | 87% |
| Att | 33% | 67% |
| Def | 23% | 77% |
| Poisson Distribution | 32% | 68% |
| H2h | 62% | 38% |
| Goals | 53% | 47% |
| Total | 36.0% | 64.0% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Pontivy GSI
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Saint-Pierre Milizac = 0.71 (league 1.13), Pontivy GSI = 1.31 (league 1.15)
| Pontivy GSI | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Saint-Pierre Milizac | 0 | 13.3% | 17.5% | 11.4% | 5.0% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 9.4% | 12.3% | 8.1% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 3.3% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 20.1% · Draw 28.8% · Away win 50.8%
vtt 1 , vtd1