Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 16:00 •
Stade René Guillou
Expected Goals
1.75 (league 1.26)
1.00 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 54.0% | 23.5% | 21.5% |
best score tips
1 - 1
11.2%
1 - 0
11.1%
2 - 1
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Vitré | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Lannion | 0 | 6.4% | 6.4% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 11.1% | 11.2% | 5.6% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.7% | 9.8% | 4.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 5.7% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home lean
Lannion carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 29 points. This sits in the lean confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Lannion +27.6, Vitré +26.1.
Lean confidence
Upset risk: Medium-high
Elo standalone
Lannion
vs
Vitré
Elo gapLannion +29
Home / draw / away40% / 27% / 33%
Expected home share54%
Combined Elo3046.3
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home lean
Confidence band
Lean confidence
Upset risk
Medium-high
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3046.3
Elo home share
54%
Match tone
Upset Watch
| Metric | Lannion | Vitré |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1519.9 | 1526.4 |
| Form Elo | 1540.3 | 1547.1 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1522.7 | 1510.3 |
| Attack Elo | 1492.3 | 1482.7 |
| Defense Elo | 1521.6 | 1545.4 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +27.6 | +26.1 |
There is a measurable Elo lean, but the gap still leaves room for the game state and finishing variance to reshape the result. Lannion last-5 Elo change: +27.6; Vitré last-5 Elo change: +26.1.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Lannion | Vitré |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 60% |
| Attack | 62% | 46% |
| Defense | 38% | 77% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
71%
FT probability
2.5+
50%
FT probability
3.5+
35%
FT probability
BTTS
68%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Lannion | Vitré | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 9 | 9 | 18 | 10 | 9 | 19 |
| Wins | 56% | 22% | 39% | 30% | 44% | 37% |
| Draws | 22% | 56% | 39% | 60% | 33% | 47% |
| Loses | 22% | 22% | 22% | 10% | 22% | 16% |
LannionDWLWWDDWLDWDWDLDLW
VitréDWDWWDDDLWDDDDLWLWW
League goals
| Metric | Lannion | Vitré | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 15 | 14 | 29 | 9 | 12 | 21 |
| GF avg | 1.7 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 8 | 12 | 20 | 6 | 12 | 18 |
| GA avg | 0.9 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 1.3 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Lannion | Vitré | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 89% | 67% | 74% | 63% |
| 1.5 | 39% | 33% | 32% | 16% |
| 2.5 | 17% | 11% | 5% | 5% |
| 3.5 | 17% | 0% | 0% | 5% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 5% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Lannion | Vitré | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Lannion | Vitré |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Lannion | Vitré |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 4 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 1-4 | 2-0 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 3-1 | 0-1 | 5-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 1 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Lannion | Vitré |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 36% | 64% |
| Att | 57% | 43% |
| Def | 27% | 73% |
| Poisson Distribution | 62% | 38% |
| H2h | 15% | 85% |
| Goals | 32% | 68% |
| Total | 38.2% | 61.8% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
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