Sat, Nov 1 2025 • 17:00 • Stade Joseph Moynat
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.55 (league 1.62) 1.16 (league 1.29)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
45.7% 25.2% 28.4%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.0%
1 - 0
10.3%
2 - 1
9.3%
Score & goals probability table
Ivry
0 1 2 3 4 5
Thonon Évian 0 6.7% 7.7% 4.5% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
1 10.3% 12.0% 6.9% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2%
2 8.0% 9.3% 5.4% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
3 4.1% 4.8% 2.8% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.6% 1.8% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricThonon ÉvianIvry
Played55
Form67%40%
Attack59%35%
Defense76%59%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.87 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

78%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Thonon Évian Ivry
HATHAT
Played235325
Wins50%67%60%33%0%20%
Draws0%33%20%33%100%60%
Loses50%0%20%33%0%20%

Form: Thonon Évian: DWWWL • Ivry: DLDWD

League goals

Metric Thonon Évian Ivry
HATHAT
GF total5510426
GF avg2.51.72.01.31.01.2
GA total314527
GA avg1.50.30.81.71.01.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineThonon ÉvianIvry
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%40%100%100%
1.580%20%20%20%
2.540%20%0%20%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricThonon ÉvianIvry
HATHAT
Clean sheets123000
Failed to score011000

Penalties

MetricThonon ÉvianIvry
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricThonon ÉvianIvry
Wins31
Draws11
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-32-1
Biggest losses2-31-3
Goals For3321
Goals Against3131

Model comparison

MetricThonon ÉvianIvry
Form63%38%
Att63%38%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution58%42%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total62.0%38.5%

Advice: Double chance : Thonon Évian or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Thonon Évian = 1.55 (league 1.62), Ivry = 1.16 (league 1.29)

Ivry
0 1 2 3 4 5
Thonon Évian 0 6.7% 7.7% 4.5% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
1 10.3% 12.0% 6.9% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2%
2 8.0% 9.3% 5.4% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
3 4.1% 4.8% 2.8% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.6% 1.8% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 45.7% · Draw 25.2% · Away win 28.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1