Sat, Feb 14 2026 • 17:00 •
Stade Joseph Moynat
Expected Goals
0.96 (league 1.60)
0.49 (league 1.28)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 45.8% | 35.8% | 18.3% |
best score tips
0 - 0
23.4%
1 - 0
22.5%
0 - 1
11.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Torcy | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Thonon Évian | 0 | 23.4% | 11.5% | 2.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 22.5% | 11.0% | 2.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 10.8% | 5.3% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Thonon Évian | Torcy |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 20% |
| Attack | 0% | 57% |
| Defense | 43% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
63%
FT probability
2.5+
44%
FT probability
3.5+
31%
FT probability
BTTS
54%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Thonon Évian | Torcy | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 7 | 8 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 15 |
| Wins | 29% | 38% | 33% | 14% | 13% | 13% |
| Draws | 43% | 25% | 33% | 43% | 25% | 33% |
| Loses | 29% | 38% | 33% | 43% | 63% | 53% |
Form: Thonon Évian: DWWWLWWLLLDDDLD • Torcy: WDDLLLDDDLLLWLL
League goals
| Metric | Thonon Évian | Torcy | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 8 | 12 | 20 | 5 | 7 | 12 |
| GF avg | 1.1 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 0.8 |
| GA total | 5 | 14 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 19 |
| GA avg | 0.7 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Thonon Évian | Torcy | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 53% | 47% | 53% | 80% |
| 1.5 | 47% | 33% | 20% | 40% |
| 2.5 | 27% | 27% | 7% | 7% |
| 3.5 | 7% | 13% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 7% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Thonon Évian | Torcy | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Thonon Évian | Torcy |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Thonon Évian | Torcy |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 1 |
| Draws | 3 | 3 |
| Losses | 3 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 1-4 | 3-1 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 4-0 | 0-2 | 3-2 |
| Goals For | 3 | 4 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 5 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Thonon Évian | Torcy |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 57% | 43% |
| Att | 0% | 100% |
| Def | 67% | 33% |
| Poisson Distribution | 66% | 34% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 67% | 33% |
| Total | 64.3% | 35.8% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Thonon Évian or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Thonon Évian = 0.96 (league 1.60), Torcy = 0.49 (league 1.28)
| Torcy | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Thonon Évian | 0 | 23.4% | 11.5% | 2.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 22.5% | 11.0% | 2.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 10.8% | 5.3% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 45.8% · Draw 35.8% · Away win 18.3%
vtt 1 , vtd1