Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 16:00 •
Stade de l'Ill
Expected Goals
1.54 (league 1.56)
1.78 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 32.9% | 22.8% | 42.8% |
best score tips
1 - 1
9.9%
1 - 2
8.8%
2 - 1
7.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Belfort | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Mulhouse | 0 | 3.6% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| 1 | 5.5% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 0.8% | |
| 2 | 4.3% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.6% | |
| 3 | 2.2% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home edge
Mulhouse carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 50 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Mulhouse -8.5, Belfort -23.9.
Medium confidence
Upset risk: Medium
Elo standalone
Mulhouse
vs
Belfort
Elo gapMulhouse +50
Home / draw / away43% / 24% / 33%
Expected home share57%
Combined Elo2970.3
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home edge
Confidence band
Medium confidence
Upset risk
Medium
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2970.3
Elo home share
57%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | Mulhouse | Belfort |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1492.4 | 1477.9 |
| Form Elo | 1474.9 | 1464.4 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1498.3 | 1507.7 |
| Attack Elo | 1513.4 | 1541.1 |
| Defense Elo | 1472.8 | 1503 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -8.5 | -23.9 |
The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. Mulhouse last-5 Elo change: -8.5; Belfort last-5 Elo change: -23.9.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Mulhouse | Belfort |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 20% |
| Attack | 50% | 70% |
| Defense | 30% | 30% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
84%
FT probability
2.5+
59%
FT probability
3.5+
42%
FT probability
BTTS
81%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Mulhouse | Belfort | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 12 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 23 |
| Wins | 45% | 25% | 35% | 17% | 27% | 22% |
| Draws | 18% | 33% | 26% | 42% | 36% | 39% |
| Loses | 36% | 42% | 39% | 42% | 36% | 39% |
MulhouseDLLDWWDWWLWDLWLLDLWWLLD
BelfortDLWDLDDLDWWDDLDLDWLLLWL
League goals
| Metric | Mulhouse | Belfort | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 18 | 14 | 32 | 13 | 16 | 29 |
| GF avg | 1.6 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 17 | 19 | 36 | 14 | 16 | 30 |
| GA avg | 1.5 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Mulhouse | Belfort | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 78% | 83% | 78% | 91% |
| 1.5 | 43% | 48% | 22% | 30% |
| 2.5 | 13% | 17% | 9% | 9% |
| 3.5 | 4% | 4% | 9% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 4% | 9% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Mulhouse | Belfort | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Mulhouse | Belfort |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Mulhouse | Belfort |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-2 | 2-3 | 5-2 | 1-5 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 5-2 | 1-2 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 5 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 5 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Mulhouse | Belfort |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 70% | 30% |
| Att | 42% | 58% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 46% | 54% |
| H2h | 62% | 38% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 53.3% | 46.7% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…