National 3 - Group F — France
Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 16:00 • Stade de Clerville
Not Started

Ivry

—

Chalon-sur-Saône

Expected Goals
1.08 (league 1.56) 1.07 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
35.3% 29.6% 35.0%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.5%
1 - 0
12.6%
0 - 1
12.5%
Score & goals probability table
Chalon-sur-Saône
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ivry 0 11.7% 12.5% 6.7% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1%
1 12.6% 13.5% 7.2% 2.6% 0.7% 0.1%
2 6.8% 7.2% 3.9% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
3 2.4% 2.6% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.7% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
FootyWow Elo verdict

Away lean

Chalon-sur-Saône carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 34 points. This sits in the lean confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Ivry +28.6, Chalon-sur-Saône -3.7.

Lean confidence Upset risk: Medium-high Elo standalone
Ivry Elo 1486.9 · +28.6
vs
Chalon-sur-Saône Elo 1556.1 · -3.7
Elo gapChalon-sur-Saône +34
Home / draw / away33% / 26% / 41%
Expected home share45%
Combined Elo3043
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge Away lean
Confidence band Lean confidence
Upset risk Medium-high
Model agreement Elo standalone
Combined Elo 3043
Elo home share 45%
Match tone Upset Watch
Metric Ivry Chalon-sur-Saône
Overall Elo1486.91556.1
Form Elo1499.61562.9
Home / Away Elo1503.61508.9
Attack Elo1427.11531.6
Defense Elo1531.81535.3
Last 5 Elo change+28.6-3.7

There is a measurable Elo lean, but the gap still leaves room for the game state and finishing variance to reshape the result. Ivry last-5 Elo change: +28.6; Chalon-sur-Saône last-5 Elo change: -3.7.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricIvryChalon-sur-Saône
Played55
Form67%60%
Attack70%90%
Defense80%20%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.49 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.48 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

na
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Ivry Chalon-sur-Saône
HATHAT
Played111223121123
Wins45%8%26%67%36%52%
Draws36%33%35%25%36%30%
Loses18%58%39%8%27%17%
IvryDLDWLDLDLDLDLDLWWLLDWWW
Chalon-sur-SaôneDWLWDWWWDWLDDDWWDWWLLWW

League goals

Metric Ivry Chalon-sur-Saône
HATHAT
GF total13720211738
GF avg1.20.60.91.81.51.7
GA total101828101525
GA avg0.91.51.20.81.41.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineIvryChalon-sur-Saône
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.561%74%83%65%
1.522%26%61%26%
2.54%22%22%13%
3.50%0%0%4%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricIvryChalon-sur-Saône
HATHAT
Clean sheets426628
Failed to score279224

Penalties

MetricIvryChalon-sur-Saône
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricIvryChalon-sur-Saône
Wins23
Draws13
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-33-10-3
Biggest losses1-33-01-43-1
Goals For2333
Goals Against3343

Model comparison

MetricIvryChalon-sur-Saône
Form53%47%
Att44%56%
Def80%20%
Poisson Distribution48%52%
H2h50%50%
Goals0%0%
Total55.0%45.0%
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

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