Sun, Apr 26 2026 • 13:00 •
Parc des Sports
Expected Goals
0.78 (league 1.56)
1.81 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 15.6% | 22.5% | 60.9% |
best score tips
0 - 1
13.7%
0 - 2
12.3%
1 - 1
10.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Racing Besançon | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Strasbourg II | 0 | 7.6% | 13.7% | 12.3% | 7.4% | 3.4% | 1.2% |
| 1 | 5.9% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 5.8% | 2.6% | 0.9% | |
| 2 | 2.3% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Away edge
Racing Besançon carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 67 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Strasbourg II -22.3, Racing Besançon +5.3.
Medium confidence
Upset risk: Medium
Elo standalone
Strasbourg II
vs
Racing Besançon
Elo gapRacing Besançon +67
Home / draw / away32% / 22% / 46%
Expected home share41%
Combined Elo3024.4
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Away edge
Confidence band
Medium confidence
Upset risk
Medium
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3024.4
Elo home share
41%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | Strasbourg II | Racing Besançon |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1461.3 | 1563.1 |
| Form Elo | 1456.5 | 1573.8 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1478.5 | 1502.9 |
| Attack Elo | 1524.5 | 1494.9 |
| Defense Elo | 1341.2 | 1610.7 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -22.3 | +5.3 |
The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. Strasbourg II last-5 Elo change: -22.3; Racing Besançon last-5 Elo change: +5.3.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Strasbourg II | Racing Besançon |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 53% |
| Attack | 50% | 50% |
| Defense | 0% | 60% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 14 | 2.8 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
75%
FT probability
2.5+
53%
FT probability
3.5+
38%
FT probability
BTTS
65%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Strasbourg II | Racing Besançon | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 12 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 23 |
| Wins | 18% | 33% | 26% | 58% | 27% | 43% |
| Draws | 45% | 17% | 30% | 33% | 45% | 39% |
| Loses | 36% | 50% | 43% | 8% | 27% | 17% |
Strasbourg IIDLDDWDLLDWLLDLWWLWLLWDL
Racing BesançonLWWLDDDWDLWDWWDWDWWWLDD
League goals
| Metric | Strasbourg II | Racing Besançon | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 12 | 14 | 26 | 19 | 13 | 32 |
| GF avg | 1.1 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 21 | 23 | 44 | 7 | 12 | 19 |
| GA avg | 1.9 | 1.9 | 1.9 | 0.6 | 1.1 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Strasbourg II | Racing Besançon | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 70% | 74% | 83% | 52% |
| 1.5 | 30% | 57% | 39% | 22% |
| 2.5 | 13% | 35% | 17% | 9% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 9% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 9% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Strasbourg II | Racing Besançon | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 11 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Strasbourg II | Racing Besançon |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Strasbourg II | Racing Besançon |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 0-3 | 3-0 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-7 | 5-1 | 1-2 | 3-2 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 7 | 5 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Strasbourg II | Racing Besançon |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 33% | 67% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 22% | 78% |
| Poisson Distribution | 30% | 70% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 40% | 60% |
| Total | 37.5% | 62.5% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
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