Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 15:00 • Stade Marcel Cerdan
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.85 (league 1.77) 0.67 (league 1.49)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
37.0% 36.3% 26.7%
best score tips
0 - 0
21.9%
1 - 0
18.6%
0 - 1
14.7%
Score & goals probability table
Olympique Marseille II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Carnoux 0 21.9% 14.7% 4.9% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
1 18.6% 12.5% 4.2% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 7.9% 5.3% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 2.2% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCarnouxOlympique Marseille II
Played33
Form44%44%
Attack25%25%
Defense67%75%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 13 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 1.33 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

63%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Carnoux Olympique Marseille II
HATHAT
Played213213
Wins50%0%33%50%0%33%
Draws50%0%33%0%100%33%
Loses0%100%33%50%0%33%

Form: Carnoux: WLD • Olympique Marseille II: LDW

League goals

Metric Carnoux Olympique Marseille II
HATHAT
GF total303213
GF avg1.50.01.01.01.01.0
GA total224213
GA avg1.02.01.31.01.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCarnouxOlympique Marseille II
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.533%67%100%67%
1.533%67%0%33%
2.533%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCarnouxOlympique Marseille II
HATHAT
Clean sheets101101
Failed to score112000

Penalties

MetricCarnouxOlympique Marseille II
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricCarnouxOlympique Marseille II
Wins10
Draws01
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-2—1-0—
Biggest losses—2-01-2—
Goals For3011
Goals Against2221

Model comparison

MetricCarnouxOlympique Marseille II
Form50%50%
Att50%50%
Def43%57%
Poisson Distribution56%44%
H2h50%50%
Goals40%60%
Total48.2%51.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Olympique Marseille II

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Carnoux = 0.85 (league 1.77), Olympique Marseille II = 0.67 (league 1.49)

Olympique Marseille II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Carnoux 0 21.9% 14.7% 4.9% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
1 18.6% 12.5% 4.2% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 7.9% 5.3% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 2.2% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 37.0% · Draw 36.3% · Away win 26.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1