Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 16:00 •
Stade Marcel Cerdan
Expected Goals
0.86 (league 1.75)
1.78 (league 1.46)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 17.7% | 23.0% | 58.3% |
best score tips
0 - 1
12.7%
0 - 2
11.3%
1 - 1
10.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Fos | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Carnoux | 0 | 7.1% | 12.7% | 11.3% | 6.7% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| 1 | 6.1% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 5.8% | 2.6% | 0.9% | |
| 2 | 2.6% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Carnoux | Fos |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 4 |
| Form | 27% | 33% |
| Attack | 28% | 33% |
| Defense | 50% | 61% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 6 | 1.5 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 7 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
85%
FT probability
2.5+
60%
FT probability
3.5+
43%
FT probability
BTTS
66%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Carnoux | Fos | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Wins | 33% | 0% | 20% | 0% | 50% | 25% |
| Draws | 33% | 0% | 20% | 50% | 0% | 25% |
| Loses | 33% | 100% | 60% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
Form: Carnoux: WLDLL • Fos: DWLL
League goals
| Metric | Carnoux | Fos | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 4 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 2.5 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Carnoux | Fos | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 40% | 80% | 100% | 75% |
| 1.5 | 40% | 80% | 50% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 20% | 20% | 0% | 50% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Carnoux | Fos | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Carnoux | Fos |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Carnoux | Fos |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-2 | — | — | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 2-0 | 1-3 | 3-2 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Carnoux | Fos |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 45% | 55% |
| Def | 44% | 56% |
| Poisson Distribution | 33% | 67% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 43.0% | 57.0% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Fos
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Carnoux = 0.86 (league 1.75), Fos = 1.78 (league 1.46)
| Fos | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Carnoux | 0 | 7.1% | 12.7% | 11.3% | 6.7% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| 1 | 6.1% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 5.8% | 2.6% | 0.9% | |
| 2 | 2.6% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 17.7% · Draw 23.0% · Away win 58.3%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1