Sun, Jan 11 2026 • 14:00 •
Stade Bernard Gasset Terrain n°7
Expected Goals
1.04 (league 1.73)
0.65 (league 1.47)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 44.1% | 33.2% | 22.6% |
best score tips
1 - 0
19.1%
0 - 0
18.4%
1 - 1
12.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Olympique Marseille II | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Montpellier II | 0 | 18.4% | 12.0% | 3.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 19.1% | 12.5% | 4.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 10.0% | 6.5% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 3.5% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Montpellier II | Olympique Marseille II |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 40% |
| Attack | 63% | 31% |
| Defense | 50% | 69% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
69%
FT probability
2.5+
48%
FT probability
3.5+
34%
FT probability
BTTS
70%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Montpellier II | Olympique Marseille II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 6 | 5 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
| Wins | 67% | 20% | 45% | 40% | 20% | 30% |
| Draws | 17% | 0% | 9% | 20% | 60% | 40% |
| Loses | 17% | 80% | 45% | 40% | 20% | 30% |
Form: Montpellier II: LLWLWLWWWLD • Olympique Marseille II: LDWWLDDWLD
League goals
| Metric | Montpellier II | Olympique Marseille II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 11 | 5 | 16 | 4 | 6 | 10 |
| GF avg | 1.8 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 5 | 10 | 15 | 4 | 5 | 9 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 2.0 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Montpellier II | Olympique Marseille II | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 82% | 73% | 70% | 70% |
| 1.5 | 45% | 55% | 30% | 20% |
| 2.5 | 18% | 9% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Montpellier II | Olympique Marseille II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Montpellier II | Olympique Marseille II |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Montpellier II | Olympique Marseille II |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 2 |
| Draws | 0 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 2-3 | 2-1 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 3-1 | 1-2 | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Montpellier II | Olympique Marseille II |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 63% | 38% |
| Att | 67% | 33% |
| Def | 38% | 62% |
| Poisson Distribution | 63% | 37% |
| H2h | 25% | 75% |
| Goals | 31% | 69% |
| Total | 47.8% | 52.3% |
Advice: Double chance : Montpellier II or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Montpellier II = 1.04 (league 1.73), Olympique Marseille II = 0.65 (league 1.47)
| Olympique Marseille II | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Montpellier II | 0 | 18.4% | 12.0% | 3.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 19.1% | 12.5% | 4.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 10.0% | 6.5% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 3.5% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 44.1% · Draw 33.2% · Away win 22.6%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1