Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 16:00 •
Stade Léo Lagrange
Expected Goals
2.40 (league 1.35)
0.26 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 81.7% | 12.0% | 2.7% |
best score tips
2 - 0
20.2%
1 - 0
16.8%
3 - 0
16.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Brétigny Foot | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Racing Colombes 92 | 0 | 7.0% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 16.8% | 4.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 20.2% | 5.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 16.2% | 4.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 9.7% | 2.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 4.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home strong edge
Racing Colombes 92 carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 220 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Racing Colombes 92 +31.1, Brétigny Foot -39.3.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Racing Colombes 92
vs
Brétigny Foot
Elo gapRacing Colombes 92 +220
Home / draw / away64% / 18% / 18%
Expected home share78%
Combined Elo3071.2
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3071.2
Elo home share
78%
Match tone
Heavy Favorite
| Metric | Racing Colombes 92 | Brétigny Foot |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1628 | 1443.2 |
| Form Elo | 1653.1 | 1410 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1556.4 | 1479 |
| Attack Elo | 1653.8 | 1434.2 |
| Defense Elo | 1610.1 | 1508.8 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +31.1 | -39.3 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Racing Colombes 92 last-5 Elo change: +31.1; Brétigny Foot last-5 Elo change: -39.3.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Racing Colombes 92 | Brétigny Foot |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 87% | 7% |
| Attack | 71% | 6% |
| Defense | 82% | 71% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 12 | 2.4 | 1 | 0.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
70%
FT probability
2.5+
49%
FT probability
3.5+
35%
FT probability
BTTS
64%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Racing Colombes 92 | Brétigny Foot | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 10 | 11 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 21 |
| Wins | 70% | 64% | 67% | 27% | 10% | 19% |
| Draws | 30% | 18% | 24% | 27% | 20% | 24% |
| Loses | 0% | 18% | 10% | 45% | 70% | 57% |
Racing Colombes 92DWWWLDWWLWWWDDWWDWWWW
Brétigny FootWLLLWDWLWDLLDDLLLLLDL
League goals
| Metric | Racing Colombes 92 | Brétigny Foot | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 18 | 22 | 40 | 10 | 7 | 17 |
| GF avg | 1.8 | 2.0 | 1.9 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.8 |
| GA total | 4 | 15 | 19 | 14 | 18 | 32 |
| GA avg | 0.4 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 1.8 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Racing Colombes 92 | Brétigny Foot | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 90% | 52% | 62% | 81% |
| 1.5 | 57% | 14% | 19% | 43% |
| 2.5 | 33% | 5% | 0% | 19% |
| 3.5 | 10% | 5% | 0% | 5% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 5% | 0% | 5% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Racing Colombes 92 | Brétigny Foot | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 6 | 4 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
Penalties
| Metric | Racing Colombes 92 | Brétigny Foot |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Racing Colombes 92 | Brétigny Foot |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 5 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 0-4 | 2-1 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | — | 7-1 | 1-3 | 5-2 |
| Goals For | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 7 | 3 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Racing Colombes 92 | Brétigny Foot |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 93% | 7% |
| Att | 92% | 8% |
| Def | 63% | 38% |
| Poisson Distribution | 90% | 10% |
| H2h | 85% | 15% |
| Goals | 81% | 19% |
| Total | 84.0% | 16.2% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
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