Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 13:00 • Stade Ange Casanova
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.59 (league 1.57) 0.94 (league 1.07)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
52.0% 25.2% 22.2%
best score tips
1 - 0
12.7%
1 - 1
11.9%
2 - 0
10.1%
Score & goals probability table
Le Pays du Valois
0 1 2 3 4 5
Gazelec FC Ajaccio 0 8.0% 7.5% 3.5% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
1 12.7% 11.9% 5.6% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
2 10.1% 9.5% 4.4% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 5.3% 5.0% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 2.1% 2.0% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGazelec FC AjaccioLe Pays du Valois
Played33
Form78%44%
Attack33%33%
Defense83%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 1.34 | 1.3
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.76 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

77%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

87%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Gazelec FC Ajaccio Le Pays du Valois
HATHAT
Played123123
Wins0%100%67%100%0%33%
Draws100%0%33%0%50%33%
Loses0%0%0%0%50%33%

Form: Gazelec FC Ajaccio: WDW • Le Pays du Valois: LWD

League goals

Metric Gazelec FC Ajaccio Le Pays du Valois
HATHAT
GF total134224
GF avg1.01.51.32.01.01.3
GA total112156
GA avg1.00.50.71.02.52.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGazelec FC AjaccioLe Pays du Valois
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%67%100%100%
1.533%0%33%33%
2.50%0%0%33%
3.50%0%0%33%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGazelec FC AjaccioLe Pays du Valois
HATHAT
Clean sheets011000
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricGazelec FC AjaccioLe Pays du Valois
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricGazelec FC AjaccioLe Pays du Valois
Wins11
Draws10
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—1-22-1—
Biggest losses———4-1
Goals For1221
Goals Against1114

Model comparison

MetricGazelec FC AjaccioLe Pays du Valois
Form64%36%
Att50%50%
Def75%25%
Poisson Distribution66%34%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total63.8%36.3%

Advice: Double chance : Gazelec FC Ajaccio or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Gazelec FC Ajaccio = 1.59 (league 1.57), Le Pays du Valois = 0.94 (league 1.07)

Le Pays du Valois
0 1 2 3 4 5
Gazelec FC Ajaccio 0 8.0% 7.5% 3.5% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
1 12.7% 11.9% 5.6% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
2 10.1% 9.5% 4.4% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 5.3% 5.0% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 2.1% 2.0% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 52.0% · Draw 25.2% · Away win 22.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1