Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 13:00 •
Stade Ange Casanova
Expected Goals
1.62 (league 1.55)
0.90 (league 1.11)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 53.5% | 24.9% | 20.9% |
best score tips
1 - 0
13.0%
1 - 1
11.8%
2 - 0
10.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Le Pays du Valois | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Gazelec FC Ajaccio | 0 | 8.1% | 7.3% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 13.0% | 11.8% | 5.3% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 10.5% | 9.5% | 4.3% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 5.7% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.3% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Gazelec FC Ajaccio | Le Pays du Valois |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 3 | 3 |
| Form | 78% | 44% |
| Attack | 33% | 33% |
| Defense | 83% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 1.3 | 4 | 1.3 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.7 | 6 | 2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
77%
FT probability
2.5+
54%
FT probability
3.5+
39%
FT probability
BTTS
87%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Gazelec FC Ajaccio | Le Pays du Valois | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Wins | 0% | 100% | 67% | 100% | 0% | 33% |
| Draws | 100% | 0% | 33% | 0% | 50% | 33% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 50% | 33% |
Form: Gazelec FC Ajaccio: WDW • Le Pays du Valois: LWD
League goals
| Metric | Gazelec FC Ajaccio | Le Pays du Valois | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 2.5 | 2.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Gazelec FC Ajaccio | Le Pays du Valois | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 67% | 100% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 0% | 33% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 33% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 33% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Gazelec FC Ajaccio | Le Pays du Valois | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Gazelec FC Ajaccio | Le Pays du Valois |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Gazelec FC Ajaccio | Le Pays du Valois |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 1-2 | 2-1 | — |
| Biggest losses | — | — | — | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Gazelec FC Ajaccio | Le Pays du Valois |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 64% | 36% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 75% | 25% |
| Poisson Distribution | 66% | 34% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 63.8% | 36.3% |
Advice: Double chance : Gazelec FC Ajaccio or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Gazelec FC Ajaccio = 1.62 (league 1.55), Le Pays du Valois = 0.90 (league 1.11)
| Le Pays du Valois | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Gazelec FC Ajaccio | 0 | 8.1% | 7.3% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 13.0% | 11.8% | 5.3% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 10.5% | 9.5% | 4.3% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 5.7% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.3% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 53.5% · Draw 24.9% · Away win 20.9%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1