Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 14:00 •
Stadion Botev
Expected Goals
1.99 (league 1.73)
2.54 (league 1.36)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 29.2% | 18.8% | 46.0% |
best score tips
1 - 2
6.9%
2 - 2
6.9%
1 - 3
5.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Ustrem Donchevo | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Botev Novi Pazar | 0 | 1.1% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| 1 | 2.2% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 1.9% | |
| 2 | 2.1% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 1.9% | |
| 3 | 1.4% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.2% | |
| 4 | 0.7% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.6% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Botev Novi Pazar | Ustrem Donchevo |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 20% | 60% |
| Attack | 25% | 75% |
| Defense | 38% | 13% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 12 | 2.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 14 | 2.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
79%
FT probability
3.5+
56%
FT probability
BTTS
92%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Botev Novi Pazar | Ustrem Donchevo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Wins | 50% | 0% | 20% | 67% | 67% | 67% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 50% | 100% | 80% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
Form: Botev Novi Pazar: LLLWL • Ustrem Donchevo: WLWWLW
League goals
| Metric | Botev Novi Pazar | Ustrem Donchevo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 7 | 16 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 3.0 | 2.3 | 2.7 |
| GA total | 3 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 16 |
| GA avg | 1.5 | 2.3 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 2.3 | 2.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Botev Novi Pazar | Ustrem Donchevo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 60% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 20% | 80% | 67% | 67% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 20% | 50% | 50% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 50% | 33% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 17% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Botev Novi Pazar | Ustrem Donchevo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Botev Novi Pazar | Ustrem Donchevo |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Botev Novi Pazar | Ustrem Donchevo |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 3 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | — | 4-1 | 2-4 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 3-0 | 1-5 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 5 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Botev Novi Pazar | Ustrem Donchevo |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 25% | 75% |
| Att | 25% | 75% |
| Def | 58% | 42% |
| Poisson Distribution | 39% | 61% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 38% | 62% |
| Total | 35.7% | 64.3% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Ustrem Donchevo and +1.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Botev Novi Pazar = 1.99 (league 1.73), Ustrem Donchevo = 2.54 (league 1.36)
| Ustrem Donchevo | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Botev Novi Pazar | 0 | 1.1% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| 1 | 2.2% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 1.9% | |
| 2 | 2.1% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 1.9% | |
| 3 | 1.4% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.2% | |
| 4 | 0.7% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.6% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 29.2% · Draw 18.8% · Away win 46.0%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1