Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 13:00 • Sporten tsentar Ludogorets
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.87 (league 1.84) 0.06 (league 1.42)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
56.0% 41.4% 2.6%
best score tips
0 - 0
39.2%
1 - 0
34.2%
2 - 0
15.0%
Score & goals probability table
Botev Novi Pazar
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ludogorets III 0 39.2% 2.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 34.2% 2.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 15.0% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 4.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLudogorets IIIBotev Novi Pazar
Played55
Form53%40%
Attack44%56%
Defense67%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.69 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

55%
FT probability

2.5+

39%
FT probability

3.5+

28%
FT probability

BTTS

59%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Ludogorets III Botev Novi Pazar
HATHAT
Played347336
Wins33%75%57%67%0%33%
Draws67%0%29%0%0%0%
Loses0%25%14%33%100%67%

Form: Ludogorets III: WWLDWDW • Botev Novi Pazar: LLLWLW

League goals

Metric Ludogorets III Botev Novi Pazar
HATHAT
GF total246516
GF avg0.71.00.91.70.31.0
GA total1234711
GA avg0.30.50.41.32.31.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLudogorets IIIBotev Novi Pazar
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%43%67%100%
1.514%0%33%67%
2.50%0%0%17%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLudogorets IIIBotev Novi Pazar
HATHAT
Clean sheets224000
Failed to score112022

Penalties

MetricLudogorets IIIBotev Novi Pazar
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricLudogorets IIIBotev Novi Pazar
Wins21
Draws10
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-01-22-1—
Biggest losses—1-01-23-0
Goals For1221
Goals Against1123

Model comparison

MetricLudogorets IIIBotev Novi Pazar
Form57%43%
Att44%56%
Def75%25%
Poisson Distribution90%10%
H2h93%7%
Goals90%10%
Total74.8%25.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Ludogorets III or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Ludogorets III = 0.87 (league 1.84), Botev Novi Pazar = 0.06 (league 1.42)

Botev Novi Pazar
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ludogorets III 0 39.2% 2.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 34.2% 2.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 15.0% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 4.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 56.0% · Draw 41.4% · Away win 2.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1