Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 13:00 •
Stadion Sgurta
Expected Goals
3.90 (league 1.77)
2.83 (league 1.38)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 39.4% | 14.0% | 21.3% |
best score tips
3 - 2
4.7%
4 - 2
4.6%
3 - 3
4.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Aksakovo | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ustrem Donchevo | 0 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% | |
| 2 | 0.9% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.4% | |
| 3 | 1.2% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.8% | |
| 4 | 1.2% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.7% | |
| 5 | 0.9% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.4% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Ustrem Donchevo | Aksakovo |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 20% |
| Attack | 60% | 35% |
| Defense | 45% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 12 | 2.4 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 10 | 2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
5.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
85%
FT probability
3.5+
64%
FT probability
BTTS
96%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Ustrem Donchevo | Aksakovo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| Wins | 67% | 50% | 57% | 50% | 0% | 20% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 33% | 50% | 43% | 50% | 100% | 80% |
Form: Ustrem Donchevo: WLWWLWL • Aksakovo: LLLWL
League goals
| Metric | Ustrem Donchevo | Aksakovo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 9 | 8 | 17 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| GF avg | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2.4 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 9 | 9 | 18 | 3 | 7 | 10 |
| GA avg | 3.0 | 2.3 | 2.6 | 1.5 | 2.3 | 2.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Ustrem Donchevo | Aksakovo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 100% | 100% | 80% |
| 1.5 | 57% | 71% | 40% | 80% |
| 2.5 | 43% | 43% | 0% | 40% |
| 3.5 | 43% | 29% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 14% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Ustrem Donchevo | Aksakovo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Ustrem Donchevo | Aksakovo |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Ustrem Donchevo | Aksakovo |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 2-4 | 1-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | 1-5 | 4-1 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Goals For | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Ustrem Donchevo | Aksakovo |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 75% | 25% |
| Att | 63% | 37% |
| Def | 48% | 52% |
| Poisson Distribution | 51% | 49% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 44% | 56% |
| Total | 55.2% | 44.8% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Ustrem Donchevo or draw and +1.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Ustrem Donchevo = 3.90 (league 1.77), Aksakovo = 2.83 (league 1.38)
| Aksakovo | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ustrem Donchevo | 0 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% | |
| 2 | 0.9% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.4% | |
| 3 | 1.2% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.8% | |
| 4 | 1.2% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.7% | |
| 5 | 0.9% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.4% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 39.4% · Draw 14.0% · Away win 21.3%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1