Chernomorets Balchik vs Septemvri Tervel

Third League - Northeast — Bulgaria

Sat, Nov 15 2025 • 12:00 • Balchik Stadium

Match Finished

Chernomorets Balchik

1 - 1

Septemvri Tervel

Expected Goals

1.35 (league 1.84) 0.63 (league 1.42)

1x2 probabilities

home	draw	away
53.8%	28.4%	17.5%

best score tips

1 - 0

18.6%

0 - 0

13.8%

2 - 0

12.5%

Score & goals probability table

		Septemvri Tervel
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Chernomorets Balchik	0	13.8%	8.8%	2.8%	0.6%	0.1%	0.0%
	1	18.6%	11.8%	3.7%	0.8%	0.1%	0.0%
	2	12.5%	7.9%	2.5%	0.5%	0.1%	0.0%
	3	5.6%	3.6%	1.1%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%
	4	1.9%	1.2%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
	5	0.5%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric	Chernomorets Balchik	Septemvri Tervel
Played	5	5
Form	67%	80%
Attack	32%	84%
Defense	79%	74%
Goals For (tot \| avg)	6 \| 1.2	16 \| 3.2
Goals Against (tot \| avg)	4 \| 0.8	5 \| 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.90

Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.60

Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.30

Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.40

Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

94%

FT probability

2.5+

66%

FT probability

3.5+

47%

FT probability

BTTS

70%

FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data

Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric	Chernomorets Balchik			Septemvri Tervel
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	7	5	12	7	6	13
Wins	86%	80%	83%	100%	67%	85%
Draws	14%	0%	8%	0%	17%	8%
Loses	0%	20%	8%	0%	17%	8%

Form: Chernomorets Balchik: WWWWWWWLWWDW • Septemvri Tervel: WWWWWDWWLWWWW

League goals

Metric	Chernomorets Balchik			Septemvri Tervel
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	22	10	32	33	9	42
GF avg	3.1	2.0	2.7	4.7	1.5	3.2
GA total	4	2	6	6	5	11
GA avg	0.6	0.4	0.5	0.9	0.8	0.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	Chernomorets Balchik		Septemvri Tervel
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	92%	42%	92%	62%
1.5	67%	8%	69%	15%
2.5	50%	0%	54%	8%
3.5	33%	0%	46%	0%
4.5	17%	0%	23%	0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	Chernomorets Balchik			Septemvri Tervel
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	4	3	7	2	3	5
Failed to score	0	1	1	0	1	1

Penalties

Metric	Chernomorets Balchik	Septemvri Tervel
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	0

Streaks

Metric	Chernomorets Balchik	Septemvri Tervel
Wins	7	5
Draws	1	1
Losses	1	1

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	6-0	1-5	9-0	0-4
Biggest losses	—	1-0	—	3-0
Goals For	6	5	9	4
Goals Against	2	1	2	3

Model comparison

Metric	Chernomorets Balchik	Septemvri Tervel
Form	45%	55%
Att	27%	73%
Def	56%	44%
Poisson Distribution	63%	37%
H2h	71%	29%
Goals	60%	40%
Total	53.7%	46.3%

Advice: Double chance : Chernomorets Balchik or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

League page • Country page • Venue page • Chernomorets Balchik vs Septemvri Tervel

Expected goals (λ): Chernomorets Balchik = 1.35 (league 1.84), Septemvri Tervel = 0.63 (league 1.42)

		Septemvri Tervel
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Chernomorets Balchik	0	13.8%	8.8%	2.8%	0.6%	0.1%	0.0%
	1	18.6%	11.8%	3.7%	0.8%	0.1%	0.0%
	2	12.5%	7.9%	2.5%	0.5%	0.1%	0.0%
	3	5.6%	3.6%	1.1%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%
	4	1.9%	1.2%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
	5	0.5%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 53.8% · Draw 28.4% · Away win 17.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1

Metric	Chernomorets Balchik	Septemvri Tervel
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	0