Sun, Aug 31 2025 • 14:00 • Campo comunale Mendrisio
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.56 (league 1.78) 1.92 (league 1.56)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
9.9% 20.1% 68.6%
best score tips
0 - 1
16.0%
0 - 2
15.4%
0 - 3
9.9%
Score & goals probability table
Baden
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mendrisio 0 8.3% 16.0% 15.4% 9.9% 4.7% 1.8%
1 4.7% 9.0% 8.7% 5.5% 2.7% 1.0%
2 1.3% 2.5% 2.4% 1.6% 0.7% 0.3%
3 0.2% 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMendrisioBaden
Played23
Form17%67%
Attack13%40%
Defense80%80%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 16 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 1.53 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

54%
FT probability

2.5+

38%
FT probability

3.5+

27%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Mendrisio Baden
HATHAT
Played022213
Wins—0%0%50%100%67%
Draws—50%50%0%0%0%
Loses—50%50%50%0%33%

Form: Mendrisio: DL • Baden: WWL

League goals

Metric Mendrisio Baden
HATHAT
GF total022426
GF avg0.01.01.02.02.02.0
GA total033303
GA avg0.01.51.51.50.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMendrisioBaden
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%100%100%67%
1.550%50%67%33%
2.50%0%33%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMendrisioBaden
HATHAT
Clean sheets000011
Failed to score011000

Penalties

MetricMendrisioBaden
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricMendrisioBaden
Wins02
Draws10
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins——3-10-2
Biggest losses—1-01-2—
Goals For0232
Goals Against0220

Model comparison

MetricMendrisioBaden
Form14%86%
Att25%75%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution0%0%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total29.7%70.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Baden

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Mendrisio = 0.56 (league 1.78), Baden = 1.92 (league 1.56)

Baden
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mendrisio 0 8.3% 16.0% 15.4% 9.9% 4.7% 1.8%
1 4.7% 9.0% 8.7% 5.5% 2.7% 1.0%
2 1.3% 2.5% 2.4% 1.6% 0.7% 0.3%
3 0.2% 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 9.9% · Draw 20.1% · Away win 68.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1