Sat, Oct 11 2025 • 14:00 •
Bowden Park
Expected Goals
3.63 (league 1.54)
0.07 (league 1.23)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 80.6% | 3.2% | 0.2% |
best score tips
3 - 0
19.6%
4 - 0
17.8%
2 - 0
16.2%
Score & goals probability table
| AFC Sudbury | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Harborough Town | 0 | 2.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 8.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 16.2% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 19.6% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 17.8% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 12.9% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Harborough Town | AFC Sudbury |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 73% | 27% |
| Attack | 80% | 30% |
| Defense | 70% | 10% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 9 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
78%
FT probability
2.5+
55%
FT probability
3.5+
39%
FT probability
BTTS
64%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Harborough Town | AFC Sudbury | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| Wins | 75% | 60% | 67% | 50% | 0% | 25% |
| Draws | 25% | 40% | 33% | 25% | 0% | 13% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 25% | 100% | 63% |
Form: Harborough Town: WDWWWDWDW • AFC Sudbury: WLLLLWLD
League goals
| Metric | Harborough Town | AFC Sudbury | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 8 | 10 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.8 |
| GA total | 1 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 17 |
| GA avg | 0.3 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 1.5 | 2.8 | 2.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Harborough Town | AFC Sudbury | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 44% | 50% | 88% |
| 1.5 | 56% | 11% | 25% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 33% | 0% | 0% | 25% |
| 3.5 | 11% | 0% | 0% | 25% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 13% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Harborough Town | AFC Sudbury | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Harborough Town | AFC Sudbury |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Harborough Town | AFC Sudbury |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 0-3 | 2-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | — | — | 0-4 | 6-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Harborough Town | AFC Sudbury |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 73% | 27% |
| Att | 73% | 27% |
| Def | 75% | 25% |
| Poisson Distribution | 99% | 1% |
| H2h | 67% | 33% |
| Goals | 62% | 38% |
| Total | 74.8% | 25.2% |
Advice: Winner : Harborough Town
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Harborough Town = 3.63 (league 1.54), AFC Sudbury = 0.07 (league 1.23)
| AFC Sudbury | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Harborough Town | 0 | 2.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 8.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 16.2% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 19.6% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 17.8% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 12.9% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 80.6% · Draw 3.2% · Away win 0.2%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1