Sat, Oct 11 2025 • 14:00 • Lye Meadow
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.10 (league 1.53) 1.88 (league 1.22)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
22.0% 22.4% 54.2%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.5%
1 - 2
9.9%
0 - 1
9.5%
Score & goals probability table
Kettering Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Alvechurch 0 5.0% 9.5% 8.9% 5.6% 2.6% 1.0%
1 5.6% 10.5% 9.9% 6.2% 2.9% 1.1%
2 3.1% 5.8% 5.5% 3.4% 1.6% 0.6%
3 1.1% 2.1% 2.0% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2%
4 0.3% 0.6% 0.6% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAlvechurchKettering Town
Played55
Form67%33%
Attack60%70%
Defense80%20%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.48 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Alvechurch Kettering Town
HATHAT
Played459639
Wins50%60%56%50%67%56%
Draws0%40%22%17%33%22%
Loses50%0%22%33%0%22%

Form: Alvechurch: DLWWLWWWD • Kettering Town: WWWWLDLWD

League goals

Metric Alvechurch Kettering Town
HATHAT
GF total561111718
GF avg1.31.21.21.82.32.0
GA total4158412
GA avg1.00.20.61.31.31.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAlvechurchKettering Town
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.578%33%89%78%
1.533%22%67%22%
2.511%0%33%22%
3.50%0%11%11%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAlvechurchKettering Town
HATHAT
Clean sheets246112
Failed to score022101

Penalties

MetricAlvechurchKettering Town
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricAlvechurchKettering Town
Wins34
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-33-00-2
Biggest losses1-22-4
Goals For2334
Goals Against2143

Model comparison

MetricAlvechurchKettering Town
Form67%33%
Att46%54%
Def80%20%
Poisson Distribution39%61%
H2h9%91%
Goals25%75%
Total44.3%55.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Kettering Town

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.45 @ Bet365
Draw3.39 @ Pinnacle
Away2.67 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.95 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.88 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.68 @ Marathonbet
No2.10 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Alvechurch = 1.10 (league 1.53), Kettering Town = 1.88 (league 1.22)

Kettering Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Alvechurch 0 5.0% 9.5% 8.9% 5.6% 2.6% 1.0%
1 5.6% 10.5% 9.9% 6.2% 2.9% 1.1%
2 3.1% 5.8% 5.5% 3.4% 1.6% 0.6%
3 1.1% 2.1% 2.0% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2%
4 0.3% 0.6% 0.6% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 22.0% · Draw 22.4% · Away win 54.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1