Sat, Oct 11 2025 • 14:00 • War Memorial Athletic Ground
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.09 (league 1.55) 0.77 (league 1.29)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
42.5% 31.6% 25.8%
best score tips
1 - 0
16.9%
0 - 0
15.5%
1 - 1
13.1%
Score & goals probability table
Leiston
0 1 2 3 4 5
Stourbridge 0 15.5% 12.0% 4.7% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
1 16.9% 13.1% 5.1% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
2 9.2% 7.1% 2.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 3.3% 2.6% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.9% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricStourbridgeLeiston
Played55
Form27%53%
Attack60%90%
Defense0%20%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.29 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 28 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Stourbridge Leiston
HATHAT
Played369549
Wins33%17%22%20%50%33%
Draws33%33%33%60%25%44%
Loses33%50%44%20%25%22%

Form: Stourbridge: WDDLLWDLL • Leiston: DLDWWLWDD

League goals

Metric Stourbridge Leiston
HATHAT
GF total471110414
GF avg1.31.21.22.01.01.6
GA total311149514
GA avg1.01.81.61.81.31.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineStourbridgeLeiston
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.578%78%89%78%
1.544%56%67%56%
2.50%22%0%22%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricStourbridgeLeiston
HATHAT
Clean sheets112112
Failed to score112011

Penalties

MetricStourbridgeLeiston
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricStourbridgeLeiston
Wins12
Draws21
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-12-01-2
Biggest losses0-13-12-33-0
Goals For2222
Goals Against2333

Model comparison

MetricStourbridgeLeiston
Form33%67%
Att40%60%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution60%40%
H2h71%29%
Goals67%33%
Total52.5%47.5%

Advice: Double chance : Stourbridge or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.38 @ Bet365
Draw3.74 @ Pinnacle
Away2.80 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.85 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.98 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.66 @ Unibet
No2.10 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Stourbridge = 1.09 (league 1.55), Leiston = 0.77 (league 1.29)

Leiston
0 1 2 3 4 5
Stourbridge 0 15.5% 12.0% 4.7% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
1 16.9% 13.1% 5.1% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
2 9.2% 7.1% 2.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 3.3% 2.6% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.9% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 42.5% · Draw 31.6% · Away win 25.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1