Tue, Oct 14 2025 • 18:45 • Lye Meadow
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.71 (league 1.57) 1.22 (league 1.31)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
21.5% 30.0% 48.3%
best score tips
0 - 1
17.7%
0 - 0
14.4%
1 - 1
12.6%
Score & goals probability table
Quorn
0 1 2 3 4 5
Alvechurch 0 14.4% 17.7% 10.8% 4.4% 1.4% 0.3%
1 10.3% 12.6% 7.7% 3.1% 1.0% 0.2%
2 3.7% 4.5% 2.7% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
3 0.9% 1.1% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAlvechurchQuorn
Played55
Form87%40%
Attack54%46%
Defense100%46%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)0 | 07 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

70%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Alvechurch Quorn
HATHAT
Played5510549
Wins60%60%60%40%75%56%
Draws0%40%20%20%0%11%
Loses40%0%20%40%25%33%

Form: Alvechurch: DLWWLWWWDW • Quorn: WDWWLWLLW

League goals

Metric Alvechurch Quorn
HATHAT
GF total76139817
GF avg1.41.21.31.82.01.9
GA total4157310
GA avg0.80.20.51.40.81.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAlvechurchQuorn
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%30%78%78%
1.540%20%44%33%
2.510%0%33%0%
3.50%0%22%0%
4.50%0%11%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAlvechurchQuorn
HATHAT
Clean sheets347022
Failed to score022112

Penalties

MetricAlvechurchQuorn
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricAlvechurchQuorn
Wins32
Draws11
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-35-20-4
Biggest losses1-2—1-21-0
Goals For2354
Goals Against2122

Model comparison

MetricAlvechurchQuorn
Form68%32%
Att54%46%
Def100%0%
Poisson Distribution37%63%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total53.0%47.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Alvechurch or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.38 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.46 @ Pinnacle
Away2.90 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.98 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.92 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.76 @ Unibet
No2.20 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Alvechurch = 0.71 (league 1.57), Quorn = 1.22 (league 1.31)

Quorn
0 1 2 3 4 5
Alvechurch 0 14.4% 17.7% 10.8% 4.4% 1.4% 0.3%
1 10.3% 12.6% 7.7% 3.1% 1.0% 0.2%
2 3.7% 4.5% 2.7% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
3 0.9% 1.1% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 21.5% · Draw 30.0% · Away win 48.3%

vtt 1 , vtd1