Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 14:00 • Sir Halley Stewart Field
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.55 (league 1.55) 0.15 (league 1.29)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
80.5% 4.0% 0.5%
best score tips
3 - 0
18.3%
4 - 0
16.3%
2 - 0
15.5%
Score & goals probability table
AFC Sudbury
0 1 2 3 4 5
Spalding United 0 2.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 8.7% 1.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 15.5% 2.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 18.3% 2.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 16.3% 2.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 11.6% 1.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSpalding UnitedAFC Sudbury
Played55
Form67%27%
Attack81%19%
Defense38%63%
Goals For (tot | avg)13 | 2.63 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

88%
FT probability

2.5+

62%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Spalding United AFC Sudbury
HATHAT
Played3710459
Wins67%57%60%50%0%22%
Draws33%14%20%25%0%11%
Loses0%29%20%25%100%67%

Form: Spalding United: LDWWWDWLWW • AFC Sudbury: WLLLLWLDL

League goals

Metric Spalding United AFC Sudbury
HATHAT
GF total71522516
GF avg2.32.12.21.30.20.7
GA total3121561218
GA avg1.01.71.51.52.42.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSpalding UnitedAFC Sudbury
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%80%44%89%
1.560%50%22%44%
2.540%10%0%22%
3.520%10%0%22%
4.50%0%0%11%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSpalding UnitedAFC Sudbury
HATHAT
Clean sheets112101
Failed to score000145

Penalties

MetricSpalding UnitedAFC Sudbury
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricSpalding UnitedAFC Sudbury
Wins31
Draws11
Losses14

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-42-0—
Biggest losses—4-10-46-1
Goals For3421
Goals Against2446

Model comparison

MetricSpalding UnitedAFC Sudbury
Form71%29%
Att81%19%
Def38%63%
Poisson Distribution96%4%
H2h20%80%
Goals0%100%
Total61.2%39.0%

Advice: Winner : Spalding United

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.50 @ Bet365
Draw4.56 @ Pinnacle
Away6.50 @ William Hill

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.83 @ William Hill
No1.96 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.70 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.15 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Spalding United = 3.55 (league 1.55), AFC Sudbury = 0.15 (league 1.29)

AFC Sudbury
0 1 2 3 4 5
Spalding United 0 2.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 8.7% 1.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 15.5% 2.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 18.3% 2.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 16.3% 2.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 11.6% 1.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 80.5% · Draw 4.0% · Away win 0.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1