Tue, Oct 21 2025 • 18:45 • Victory Road
Not Started
Expected Goals
3.66 (league 1.53) 0.44 (league 1.23)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
76.2% 5.6% 1.8%
best score tips
3 - 0
13.5%
4 - 0
12.4%
2 - 0
11.1%
Score & goals probability table
AFC Sudbury
0 1 2 3 4 5
Leiston 0 1.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 6.1% 2.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 11.1% 4.9% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 13.5% 6.0% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 12.4% 5.5% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 9.1% 4.0% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLeistonAFC Sudbury
Played55
Form47%27%
Attack71%29%
Defense43%29%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 24 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.610 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

94%
FT probability

2.5+

66%
FT probability

3.5+

47%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Leiston AFC Sudbury
HATHAT
Played66124610
Wins17%50%33%50%0%20%
Draws67%33%50%25%0%10%
Loses17%17%17%25%100%70%

Form: Leiston: DLDWWLWDDDWD • AFC Sudbury: WLLLLWLDLL

League goals

Metric Leiston AFC Sudbury
HATHAT
GF total12820527
GF avg2.01.31.71.30.30.7
GA total1171861723
GA avg1.81.21.51.52.82.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLeistonAFC Sudbury
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.592%83%50%90%
1.567%50%20%50%
2.58%17%0%30%
3.50%0%0%30%
4.50%0%0%20%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLeistonAFC Sudbury
HATHAT
Clean sheets112101
Failed to score011145

Penalties

MetricLeistonAFC Sudbury
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricLeistonAFC Sudbury
Wins21
Draws31
Losses14

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-32-0
Biggest losses2-33-00-46-1
Goals For2321
Goals Against3346

Model comparison

MetricLeistonAFC Sudbury
Form64%36%
Att71%29%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution89%11%
H2h71%29%
Goals57%43%
Total68.0%32.0%

Advice: Winner : Leiston

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.95 @ Superbet
Draw3.50 @ Betfair
Away3.66 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.70 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.10 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.62 @ Superbet
No2.25 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Leiston = 3.66 (league 1.53), AFC Sudbury = 0.44 (league 1.23)

AFC Sudbury
0 1 2 3 4 5
Leiston 0 1.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 6.1% 2.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 11.1% 4.9% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 13.5% 6.0% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 12.4% 5.5% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 9.1% 4.0% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 76.2% · Draw 5.6% · Away win 1.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1