Tue, Nov 25 2025 • 19:45 • Sir Halley Stewart Field
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.43 (league 1.55) 0.68 (league 1.29)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
74.3% 8.4% 4.0%
best score tips
3 - 0
11.0%
2 - 0
9.7%
4 - 0
9.4%
Score & goals probability table
Bury Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Spalding United 0 1.6% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 5.6% 3.8% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
2 9.7% 6.6% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 11.0% 7.5% 2.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 9.4% 6.4% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 6.5% 4.4% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSpalding UnitedBury Town
Played55
Form53%47%
Attack77%46%
Defense54%54%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

91%
FT probability

2.5+

64%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Spalding United Bury Town
HATHAT
Played612189918
Wins67%58%61%56%11%33%
Draws17%25%22%0%33%17%
Loses17%17%17%44%56%50%

Form: Spalding United: LDWWWDWLWWWWWDLDWW • Bury Town: LWLDWWLLLDWLLWWLLD

League goals

Metric Spalding United Bury Town
HATHAT
GF total17264391019
GF avg2.82.22.41.01.11.1
GA total5172291726
GA avg0.81.41.21.01.91.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSpalding UnitedBury Town
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%67%67%72%
1.572%39%39%50%
2.539%11%0%17%
3.522%6%0%6%
4.56%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSpalding UnitedBury Town
HATHAT
Clean sheets336325
Failed to score000246

Penalties

MetricSpalding UnitedBury Town
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricSpalding UnitedBury Town
Wins52
Draws11
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-11-42-10-2
Biggest losses2-34-11-34-2
Goals For5422
Goals Against3434

Model comparison

MetricSpalding UnitedBury Town
Form53%47%
Att63%38%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution84%16%
H2h100%0%
Goals67%33%
Total63.4%36.8%

Advice: Winner : Spalding United

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.42 @ Bet365
Draw5.00 @ Betfair
Away8.50 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.62 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.25 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.95 @ Betfair
No1.91 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Spalding United = 3.43 (league 1.55), Bury Town = 0.68 (league 1.29)

Bury Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Spalding United 0 1.6% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 5.6% 3.8% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
2 9.7% 6.6% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 11.0% 7.5% 2.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 9.4% 6.4% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 6.5% 4.4% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 74.3% · Draw 8.4% · Away win 4.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1