Tue, Nov 25 2025 • 19:45 • Lye Meadow
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.50 (league 1.55) 2.44 (league 1.29)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
5.8% 14.0% 76.4%
best score tips
0 - 2
15.7%
0 - 1
12.9%
0 - 3
12.8%
Score & goals probability table
Worcester City
0 1 2 3 4 5
Alvechurch 0 5.3% 12.9% 15.7% 12.8% 7.8% 3.8%
1 2.6% 6.5% 7.9% 6.4% 3.9% 1.9%
2 0.7% 1.6% 2.0% 1.6% 1.0% 0.5%
3 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAlvechurchWorcester City
Played55
Form0%67%
Attack0%77%
Defense38%62%
Goals For (tot | avg)0 | 010 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.65 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

72%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Alvechurch Worcester City
HATHAT
Played891710818
Wins38%33%35%30%50%39%
Draws0%22%12%40%25%33%
Loses63%44%53%30%25%28%

Form: Alvechurch: DLWWLWWWDWLLLLLLL • Worcester City: LDLDWDDLDLWWWDWWWL

League goals

Metric Alvechurch Worcester City
HATHAT
GF total10616141731
GF avg1.30.70.91.42.11.7
GA total1271912517
GA avg1.50.81.11.20.60.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAlvechurchWorcester City
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.553%59%78%61%
1.529%41%50%28%
2.512%6%28%6%
3.50%6%6%0%
4.50%0%6%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAlvechurchWorcester City
HATHAT
Clean sheets347347
Failed to score268224

Penalties

MetricAlvechurchWorcester City
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricAlvechurchWorcester City
Wins33
Draws12
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-33-00-6
Biggest losses0-22-01-31-0
Goals For3336
Goals Against4232

Model comparison

MetricAlvechurchWorcester City
Form0%100%
Att0%100%
Def38%62%
Poisson Distribution18%82%
H2h80%20%
Goals100%0%
Total45.3%54.7%

Advice: Winner : Worcester City

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.85 @ Betano
Draw3.48 @ Pinnacle
Away2.38 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.00 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.81 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.75 @ William Hill
No2.00 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Alvechurch = 0.50 (league 1.55), Worcester City = 2.44 (league 1.29)

Worcester City
0 1 2 3 4 5
Alvechurch 0 5.3% 12.9% 15.7% 12.8% 7.8% 3.8%
1 2.6% 6.5% 7.9% 6.4% 3.9% 1.9%
2 0.7% 1.6% 2.0% 1.6% 1.0% 0.5%
3 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 5.8% · Draw 14.0% · Away win 76.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1