Sat, Dec 6 2025 • 15:00 • War Memorial Athletic Ground
Not Started
Expected Goals
2.34 (league 1.55) 1.12 (league 1.29)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
61.5% 18.6% 16.6%
best score tips
2 - 1
9.6%
2 - 0
8.6%
1 - 1
8.2%
Score & goals probability table
AFC Sudbury
0 1 2 3 4 5
Stourbridge 0 3.1% 3.5% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
1 7.4% 8.2% 4.6% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
2 8.6% 9.6% 5.4% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
3 6.7% 7.5% 4.2% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
4 4.0% 4.4% 2.5% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
5 1.9% 2.1% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricStourbridgeAFC Sudbury
Played55
Form13%40%
Attack46%77%
Defense0%15%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.210 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)14 | 2.811 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

67%
FT probability

3.5+

48%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Stourbridge AFC Sudbury
HATHAT
Played811199918
Wins13%9%11%33%0%17%
Draws50%27%37%33%22%28%
Loses38%64%53%33%78%56%

Form: Stourbridge: WDDLLWDLLDLLLDDLLDL • AFC Sudbury: WLLLLWLDLLLLDLDWDD

League goals

Metric Stourbridge AFC Sudbury
HATHAT
GF total10112111819
GF avg1.31.01.11.20.91.1
GA total132639192544
GA avg1.62.42.12.12.82.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineStourbridgeAFC Sudbury
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.574%84%67%94%
1.532%63%33%61%
2.55%47%6%39%
3.50%5%0%22%
4.50%5%0%17%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricStourbridgeAFC Sudbury
HATHAT
Clean sheets213101
Failed to score235246

Penalties

MetricStourbridgeAFC Sudbury
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricStourbridgeAFC Sudbury
Wins11
Draws21
Losses34

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-12-0—
Biggest losses1-35-00-66-1
Goals For3223
Goals Against3566

Model comparison

MetricStourbridgeAFC Sudbury
Form25%75%
Att38%63%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution68%32%
H2h64%36%
Goals50%50%
Total48.2%52.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Stourbridge or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.95 @ Unibet
Draw3.60 @ Bet365
Away3.57 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.75 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.05 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.63 @ Marathonbet
No2.20 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Stourbridge = 2.34 (league 1.55), AFC Sudbury = 1.12 (league 1.29)

AFC Sudbury
0 1 2 3 4 5
Stourbridge 0 3.1% 3.5% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
1 7.4% 8.2% 4.6% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
2 8.6% 9.6% 5.4% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
3 6.7% 7.5% 4.2% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
4 4.0% 4.4% 2.5% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
5 1.9% 2.1% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 61.5% · Draw 18.6% · Away win 16.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1