Tue, Feb 24 2026 • 19:45 • Lye Meadow
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.84 (league 1.58) 2.22 (league 1.33)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
12.8% 18.5% 66.2%
best score tips
0 - 2
11.6%
0 - 1
10.5%
1 - 2
9.7%
Score & goals probability table
Real Bedford
0 1 2 3 4 5
Alvechurch 0 4.7% 10.5% 11.6% 8.6% 4.7% 2.1%
1 4.0% 8.8% 9.7% 7.2% 4.0% 1.8%
2 1.7% 3.7% 4.1% 3.0% 1.7% 0.7%
3 0.5% 1.0% 1.1% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAlvechurchReal Bedford
Played55
Form40%80%
Attack30%65%
Defense60%80%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.213 | 2.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.64 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Alvechurch Real Bedford
HATHAT
Played121527131528
Wins33%33%33%62%60%61%
Draws8%20%15%15%20%18%
Loses58%47%52%23%20%21%

Form: Alvechurch: DLWWLWWWDWLLLLLLLWLDLDLWLWL • Real Bedford: WDLLDLWWWDWWWWWDWLDLWWWWWWWL

League goals

Metric Alvechurch Real Bedford
HATHAT
GF total141529233255
GF avg1.21.01.11.82.12.0
GA total171734141630
GA avg1.41.11.31.11.11.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAlvechurchReal Bedford
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.559%67%82%68%
1.530%41%64%29%
2.515%15%36%11%
3.54%4%11%0%
4.50%0%4%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAlvechurchReal Bedford
HATHAT
Clean sheets459459
Failed to score3811235

Penalties

MetricAlvechurchReal Bedford
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricAlvechurchReal Bedford
Wins37
Draws11
Losses72

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-44-10-5
Biggest losses1-33-01-33-2
Goals For3445
Goals Against4333

Model comparison

MetricAlvechurchReal Bedford
Form33%67%
Att32%68%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution27%73%
H2h100%0%
Goals67%33%
Total38.4%61.6%

Advice: Winner : Real Bedford

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.35 @ 1xBet
Draw3.50 @ Bet365
Away2.02 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.73 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.12 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.58 @ Marathonbet
No2.35 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Alvechurch = 0.84 (league 1.58), Real Bedford = 2.22 (league 1.33)

Real Bedford
0 1 2 3 4 5
Alvechurch 0 4.7% 10.5% 11.6% 8.6% 4.7% 2.1%
1 4.0% 8.8% 9.7% 7.2% 4.0% 1.8%
2 1.7% 3.7% 4.1% 3.0% 1.7% 0.7%
3 0.5% 1.0% 1.1% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 12.8% · Draw 18.5% · Away win 66.2%

vtt 1 , vtd1