Tue, Jan 20 2026 • 19:45 • Victory Road
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.03 (league 1.57) 0.54 (league 1.33)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
46.8% 34.1% 19.0%
best score tips
1 - 0
21.4%
0 - 0
20.8%
1 - 1
11.6%
Score & goals probability table
Alvechurch
0 1 2 3 4 5
Leiston 0 20.8% 11.3% 3.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 21.4% 11.6% 3.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 11.0% 6.0% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 3.8% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLeistonAlvechurch
Played55
Form47%27%
Attack47%27%
Defense53%60%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.44 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

68%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Leiston Alvechurch
HATHAT
Played131225101121
Wins38%42%40%40%27%33%
Draws38%25%32%10%18%14%
Loses23%33%28%50%55%52%

Form: Leiston: DLDWWLWDDDWDWLDWLLWWLWLWD • Alvechurch: DLWWLWWWDWLLLLLLLWLDL

League goals

Metric Leiston Alvechurch
HATHAT
GF total23174013720
GF avg1.81.41.61.30.61.0
GA total151833131023
GA avg1.21.51.31.30.91.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLeistonAlvechurch
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.584%80%57%62%
1.552%36%29%38%
2.520%12%10%5%
3.54%4%0%5%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLeistonAlvechurch
HATHAT
Clean sheets415448
Failed to score314279

Penalties

MetricLeistonAlvechurch
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricLeistonAlvechurch
Wins23
Draws31
Losses27

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-11-32-00-3
Biggest losses2-34-10-22-0
Goals For4333
Goals Against3442

Model comparison

MetricLeistonAlvechurch
Form64%36%
Att64%36%
Def46%54%
Poisson Distribution66%34%
H2h75%25%
Goals62%38%
Total62.8%37.2%

Advice: Double chance : Leiston or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.43 @ Unibet
Draw3.85 @ Superbet
Away2.63 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.63 @ Unibet
No2.40 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.78 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.20 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Leiston = 1.03 (league 1.57), Alvechurch = 0.54 (league 1.33)

Alvechurch
0 1 2 3 4 5
Leiston 0 20.8% 11.3% 3.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 21.4% 11.6% 3.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 11.0% 6.0% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 3.8% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 46.8% · Draw 34.1% · Away win 19.0%

vtt 1 , vtd1