Tue, Mar 3 2026 • 19:45 • Lye Meadow
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.73 (league 1.58) 1.20 (league 1.33)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
48.9% 23.7% 26.4%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.1%
2 - 1
9.6%
1 - 0
9.2%
Score & goals probability table
Stourbridge
0 1 2 3 4 5
Alvechurch 0 5.3% 6.4% 3.9% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
1 9.2% 11.1% 6.7% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2%
2 8.0% 9.6% 5.8% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2%
3 4.6% 5.5% 3.3% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
4 2.0% 2.4% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAlvechurchStourbridge
Played55
Form27%33%
Attack40%20%
Defense50%65%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.64 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Alvechurch Stourbridge
HATHAT
Played141529151631
Wins29%33%31%27%13%19%
Draws14%20%17%40%38%39%
Loses57%47%52%33%50%42%

Form: Alvechurch: DLWWLWWWDWLLLLLLLWLDLDLWLWLLD • Stourbridge: WDDLLWDLLDLLLDDLLDLLWWDDWDLLDWD

League goals

Metric Alvechurch Stourbridge
HATHAT
GF total181533231639
GF avg1.31.01.11.51.01.3
GA total221739213354
GA avg1.61.11.31.42.11.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAlvechurchStourbridge
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.562%69%74%84%
1.531%41%35%48%
2.517%17%10%35%
3.53%7%3%3%
4.50%0%3%3%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAlvechurchStourbridge
HATHAT
Clean sheets459325
Failed to score3811358

Penalties

MetricAlvechurchStourbridge
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricAlvechurchStourbridge
Wins32
Draws12
Losses73

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-45-02-3
Biggest losses1-33-01-35-0
Goals For3453
Goals Against4335

Model comparison

MetricAlvechurchStourbridge
Form44%56%
Att67%33%
Def41%59%
Poisson Distribution60%40%
H2h40%60%
Goals43%57%
Total49.2%50.8%

Advice: Double chance : Alvechurch or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.10 @ William Hill
Draw3.50 @ Bet365
Away3.30 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.96 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.87 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.73 @ William Hill
No1.98 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Alvechurch = 1.73 (league 1.58), Stourbridge = 1.20 (league 1.33)

Stourbridge
0 1 2 3 4 5
Alvechurch 0 5.3% 6.4% 3.9% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
1 9.2% 11.1% 6.7% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2%
2 8.0% 9.6% 5.8% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2%
3 4.6% 5.5% 3.3% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
4 2.0% 2.4% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 48.9% · Draw 23.7% · Away win 26.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1