Sat, Jan 17 2026 • 15:00 •
Victory Road
Expected Goals
2.65 (league 1.57)
1.19 (league 1.31)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 63.2% | 16.5% | 14.8% |
best score tips
2 - 1
9.0%
3 - 1
7.9%
2 - 0
7.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Stourbridge | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Leiston | 0 | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 5.7% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 7.5% | 9.0% | 5.4% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 6.6% | 7.9% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 4.4% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 2.3% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Leiston | Stourbridge |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 53% |
| Attack | 62% | 69% |
| Defense | 46% | 38% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
93%
FT probability
2.5+
65%
FT probability
3.5+
46%
FT probability
BTTS
80%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Leiston | Stourbridge | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 12 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 24 |
| Wins | 42% | 42% | 42% | 18% | 15% | 17% |
| Draws | 33% | 25% | 29% | 45% | 31% | 38% |
| Loses | 25% | 33% | 29% | 36% | 54% | 46% |
Form: Leiston: DLDWWLWDDDWDWLDWLLWWLWLW • Stourbridge: WDDLLWDLLDLLLDDLLDLLWWDD
League goals
| Metric | Leiston | Stourbridge | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 23 | 17 | 40 | 15 | 15 | 30 |
| GF avg | 1.9 | 1.4 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 15 | 18 | 33 | 18 | 29 | 47 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 2.2 | 2.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Leiston | Stourbridge | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 88% | 83% | 79% | 88% |
| 1.5 | 54% | 38% | 38% | 58% |
| 2.5 | 21% | 13% | 8% | 42% |
| 3.5 | 4% | 4% | 0% | 4% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 4% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Leiston | Stourbridge | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Leiston | Stourbridge |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Leiston | Stourbridge |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 1-3 | 2-0 | 2-3 |
| Biggest losses | 2-3 | 4-1 | 1-3 | 5-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 4 | 3 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Leiston | Stourbridge |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 53% | 47% |
| Att | 47% | 53% |
| Def | 53% | 47% |
| Poisson Distribution | 72% | 28% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 33% | 67% |
| Total | 47.8% | 52.2% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Stourbridge
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Leiston = 2.65 (league 1.57), Stourbridge = 1.19 (league 1.31)
| Stourbridge | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Leiston | 0 | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 5.7% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 7.5% | 9.0% | 5.4% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 6.6% | 7.9% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 4.4% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 2.3% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 63.2% · Draw 16.5% · Away win 14.8%
vtt 1 , vtd1