Sat, Jan 24 2026 • 15:00 •
Bowden Park
Expected Goals
1.71 (league 1.58)
0.53 (league 1.31)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 65.3% | 22.8% | 11.1% |
best score tips
1 - 0
18.2%
2 - 0
15.5%
0 - 0
10.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Leiston | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Harborough Town | 0 | 10.6% | 5.7% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 18.2% | 9.7% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 15.5% | 8.3% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 8.8% | 4.7% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Harborough Town | Leiston |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 80% | 53% |
| Attack | 59% | 41% |
| Defense | 68% | 73% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 13 | 2.6 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
78%
FT probability
2.5+
55%
FT probability
3.5+
39%
FT probability
BTTS
73%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Harborough Town | Leiston | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 12 | 24 | 14 | 12 | 26 |
| Wins | 67% | 67% | 67% | 36% | 42% | 38% |
| Draws | 33% | 17% | 25% | 43% | 25% | 35% |
| Loses | 0% | 17% | 8% | 21% | 33% | 27% |
Form: Harborough Town: WDWWWDWDWWDWWDWWWDLWWLWW • Leiston: DLDWWLWDDDWDWLDWLLWWLWLWDD
League goals
| Metric | Harborough Town | Leiston | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 21 | 23 | 44 | 26 | 17 | 43 |
| GF avg | 1.8 | 1.9 | 1.8 | 1.9 | 1.4 | 1.7 |
| GA total | 6 | 12 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 36 |
| GA avg | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Harborough Town | Leiston | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 96% | 50% | 85% | 81% |
| 1.5 | 54% | 21% | 54% | 38% |
| 2.5 | 25% | 4% | 23% | 15% |
| 3.5 | 8% | 0% | 4% | 4% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Harborough Town | Leiston | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 8 | 4 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Harborough Town | Leiston |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Harborough Town | Leiston |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 3 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 0-3 | 4-1 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | — | 3-1 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Harborough Town | Leiston |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 60% | 40% |
| Att | 59% | 41% |
| Def | 46% | 54% |
| Poisson Distribution | 76% | 24% |
| H2h | 71% | 29% |
| Goals | 70% | 30% |
| Total | 63.7% | 36.3% |
Advice: Double chance : Harborough Town or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Harborough Town = 1.71 (league 1.58), Leiston = 0.53 (league 1.31)
| Leiston | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Harborough Town | 0 | 10.6% | 5.7% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 18.2% | 9.7% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 15.5% | 8.3% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 8.8% | 4.7% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 65.3% · Draw 22.8% · Away win 11.1%
vtt 1 , vtd1