Sat, Jan 24 2026 • 15:00 •
Bowden Park
Expected Goals
1.73 (league 1.56)
0.53 (league 1.33)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 66.1% | 22.3% | 10.7% |
best score tips
1 - 0
18.1%
2 - 0
15.7%
0 - 0
10.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Leiston | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Harborough Town | 0 | 10.4% | 5.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 18.1% | 9.5% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 15.7% | 8.2% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 9.1% | 4.8% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Harborough Town | Leiston |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 80% | 53% |
| Attack | 59% | 41% |
| Defense | 68% | 73% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 13 | 2.6 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
78%
FT probability
2.5+
55%
FT probability
3.5+
39%
FT probability
BTTS
73%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0-0
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Harborough Town | Leiston | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 12 | 24 | 14 | 12 | 26 |
| Wins | 67% | 67% | 67% | 36% | 42% | 38% |
| Draws | 33% | 17% | 25% | 43% | 25% | 35% |
| Loses | 0% | 17% | 8% | 21% | 33% | 27% |
Harborough TownWDWWWDWDWWDWWDWWWDLWWLWW
LeistonDLDWWLWDDDWDWLDWLLWWLWLWDD
League goals
| Metric | Harborough Town | Leiston | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 21 | 23 | 44 | 26 | 17 | 43 |
| GF avg | 1.8 | 1.9 | 1.8 | 1.9 | 1.4 | 1.7 |
| GA total | 6 | 12 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 36 |
| GA avg | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Harborough Town | Leiston | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 96% | 50% | 85% | 81% |
| 1.5 | 54% | 21% | 54% | 38% |
| 2.5 | 25% | 4% | 23% | 15% |
| 3.5 | 8% | 0% | 4% | 4% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Harborough Town | Leiston | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 8 | 4 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Harborough Town | Leiston |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Harborough Town | Leiston |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 3 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 0-3 | 4-1 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | — | 3-1 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Harborough Town | Leiston |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 60% | 40% |
| Att | 59% | 41% |
| Def | 46% | 54% |
| Poisson Distribution | 76% | 24% |
| H2h | 71% | 29% |
| Goals | 70% | 30% |
| Total | 63.7% | 36.3% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.53 @ Bet365
Draw4.20 @ Betano
Away5.97 @ 1xBet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.70 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.12 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.78 @ Superbet
No1.95 @ William Hill
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League standings
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