Sat, Jan 24 2026 • 15:00 •
Lye Meadow
Expected Goals
1.48 (league 1.58)
1.39 (league 1.31)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 39.1% | 24.9% | 35.3% |
best score tips
1 - 1
11.7%
2 - 1
8.6%
1 - 0
8.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Bury Town | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Alvechurch | 0 | 5.7% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 8.4% | 11.7% | 8.1% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 6.2% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Alvechurch | Bury Town |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 60% |
| Attack | 33% | 57% |
| Defense | 67% | 76% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 12 | 2.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
76%
FT probability
2.5+
54%
FT probability
3.5+
38%
FT probability
BTTS
66%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Alvechurch | Bury Town | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 10 | 12 | 22 | 13 | 12 | 25 |
| Wins | 40% | 25% | 32% | 46% | 17% | 32% |
| Draws | 10% | 25% | 18% | 15% | 33% | 24% |
| Loses | 50% | 50% | 50% | 38% | 50% | 44% |
Form: Alvechurch: DLWWLWWWDWLLLLLLLWLDLD • Bury Town: LWLDWWLLLDWLLWWLLDLLWDDWD
League goals
| Metric | Alvechurch | Bury Town | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 13 | 10 | 23 | 16 | 17 | 33 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 13 | 13 | 26 | 13 | 22 | 35 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 1.8 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Alvechurch | Bury Town | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 59% | 64% | 76% | 72% |
| 1.5 | 32% | 41% | 40% | 48% |
| 2.5 | 14% | 9% | 12% | 16% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 5% | 4% | 4% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Alvechurch | Bury Town | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 7 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Alvechurch | Bury Town |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Alvechurch | Bury Town |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 7 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 0-3 | 4-0 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 2-0 | 1-3 | 4-2 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Alvechurch | Bury Town |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 36% | 64% |
| Att | 37% | 63% |
| Def | 42% | 58% |
| Poisson Distribution | 53% | 47% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 100% | 0% |
| Total | 42.0% | 58.0% |
Advice: Double chance : Alvechurch or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Alvechurch = 1.48 (league 1.58), Bury Town = 1.39 (league 1.31)
| Bury Town | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Alvechurch | 0 | 5.7% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 8.4% | 11.7% | 8.1% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 6.2% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 39.1% · Draw 24.9% · Away win 35.3%
vtt 1 , vtd1