Sat, Feb 14 2026 • 15:00 • Sixways Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.95 (league 1.58) 1.07 (league 1.33)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
56.2% 21.8% 20.4%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.2%
2 - 1
9.9%
1 - 0
9.5%
Score & goals probability table
AFC Sudbury
0 1 2 3 4 5
Worcester City 0 4.9% 5.2% 2.8% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
1 9.5% 10.2% 5.5% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.2% 9.9% 5.3% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
3 6.0% 6.4% 3.5% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
4 2.9% 3.1% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
5 1.1% 1.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricWorcester CityAFC Sudbury
Played55
Form40%0%
Attack33%33%
Defense72%17%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 115 | 3

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

91%
FT probability

2.5+

64%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Worcester City AFC Sudbury
HATHAT
Played151328151429
Wins33%46%39%20%14%17%
Draws27%23%25%27%14%21%
Loses40%31%36%53%71%62%

Form: Worcester City: LDLDWDDLDLWWWDWWWLLWLDWLWLLW • AFC Sudbury: WLLLLWLDLLLLDLDWDDWDWLLLLLLLL

League goals

Metric Worcester City AFC Sudbury
HATHAT
GF total172845181836
GF avg1.12.21.61.21.31.2
GA total161430363975
GA avg1.11.11.12.42.82.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineWorcester CityAFC Sudbury
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%68%69%97%
1.543%36%38%69%
2.525%4%10%48%
3.511%0%3%24%
4.54%0%3%14%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricWorcester CityAFC Sudbury
HATHAT
Clean sheets549101
Failed to score437549

Penalties

MetricWorcester CityAFC Sudbury
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricWorcester CityAFC Sudbury
Wins31
Draws22
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-62-02-3
Biggest losses1-32-00-66-1
Goals For3653
Goals Against3266

Model comparison

MetricWorcester CityAFC Sudbury
Form100%0%
Att50%50%
Def75%25%
Poisson Distribution67%33%
H2h100%0%
Goals100%0%
Total64.0%36.0%

Advice: Double chance : Worcester City or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.36 @ Betfair
Draw5.10 @ Superbet
Away7.80 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.70 @ Superbet
No2.05 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.44 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.63 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Worcester City = 1.95 (league 1.58), AFC Sudbury = 1.07 (league 1.33)

AFC Sudbury
0 1 2 3 4 5
Worcester City 0 4.9% 5.2% 2.8% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
1 9.5% 10.2% 5.5% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.2% 9.9% 5.3% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
3 6.0% 6.4% 3.5% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
4 2.9% 3.1% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
5 1.1% 1.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 56.2% · Draw 21.8% · Away win 20.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1