Sat, Mar 28 2026 • 15:00 •
The Elite Travel Stadium
Expected Goals
0.83 (league 1.58)
1.97 (league 1.32)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 15.1% | 21.0% | 62.3% |
best score tips
0 - 1
12.0%
0 - 2
11.8%
1 - 1
10.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Alvechurch | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| AFC Sudbury | 0 | 6.1% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 7.7% | 3.8% | 1.5% |
| 1 | 5.1% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 6.4% | 3.2% | 1.2% | |
| 2 | 2.1% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.5% | |
| 3 | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | AFC Sudbury | Alvechurch |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 20% | 40% |
| Attack | 75% | 42% |
| Defense | 0% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 20 | 4 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
88%
FT probability
2.5+
62%
FT probability
3.5+
44%
FT probability
BTTS
69%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | AFC Sudbury | Alvechurch | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 18 | 18 | 36 | 17 | 18 | 35 |
| Wins | 17% | 17% | 17% | 29% | 33% | 31% |
| Draws | 22% | 17% | 19% | 12% | 17% | 14% |
| Loses | 61% | 67% | 64% | 59% | 50% | 54% |
Form: AFC Sudbury: WLLLLWLDLLLLDLDWDDWDWLLLLLLLLDLLLLLW • Alvechurch: DLWWLWWWDWLLLLLLLWLDLDLWLWLLDLLWLWL
League goals
| Metric | AFC Sudbury | Alvechurch | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 20 | 25 | 45 | 21 | 18 | 39 |
| GF avg | 1.1 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 46 | 52 | 98 | 26 | 21 | 47 |
| GA avg | 2.6 | 2.9 | 2.7 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | AFC Sudbury | Alvechurch | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 67% | 94% | 63% | 69% |
| 1.5 | 36% | 72% | 31% | 46% |
| 2.5 | 14% | 53% | 14% | 14% |
| 3.5 | 6% | 28% | 3% | 6% |
| 4.5 | 3% | 17% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | AFC Sudbury | Alvechurch | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 11 |
| Failed to score | 6 | 6 | 12 | 4 | 9 | 13 |
Penalties
| Metric | AFC Sudbury | Alvechurch |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 4 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 4 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | AFC Sudbury | Alvechurch |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 8 | 7 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 2-4 | 2-0 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 0-6 | 6-0 | 1-3 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 6 | 6 | 4 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | AFC Sudbury | Alvechurch |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 33% | 67% |
| Att | 64% | 36% |
| Def | 23% | 77% |
| Poisson Distribution | 31% | 69% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 29% | 71% |
| Total | 34.8% | 65.2% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Alvechurch
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): AFC Sudbury = 0.83 (league 1.58), Alvechurch = 1.97 (league 1.32)
| Alvechurch | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| AFC Sudbury | 0 | 6.1% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 7.7% | 3.8% | 1.5% |
| 1 | 5.1% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 6.4% | 3.2% | 1.2% | |
| 2 | 2.1% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.5% | |
| 3 | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 15.1% · Draw 21.0% · Away win 62.3%
vtt 1 , vtd1