Fri, Apr 3 2026 • 14:00 • The Getaway Cars Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.79 (league 1.59) 1.41 (league 1.33)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
21.0% 27.3% 51.3%
best score tips
0 - 1
15.6%
1 - 1
12.3%
0 - 0
11.0%
Score & goals probability table
Worcester City
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bury Town 0 11.0% 15.6% 11.0% 5.2% 1.8% 0.5%
1 8.8% 12.3% 8.7% 4.1% 1.4% 0.4%
2 3.5% 4.9% 3.5% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%
3 0.9% 1.3% 0.9% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBury TownWorcester City
Played55
Form40%47%
Attack77%23%
Defense23%77%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 23 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 23 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Bury Town Worcester City
HATHAT
Played181937181937
Wins39%32%35%39%47%43%
Draws33%26%30%28%21%24%
Loses28%42%35%33%32%32%

Form: Bury Town: LWLDWWLLLDWLLWWLLDLLWDDWDWWDWLDWDWDLD • Worcester City: LDLDWDDLDLWWWDWWWLLWLDWLWLLWDWWWLWDLW

League goals

Metric Bury Town Worcester City
HATHAT
GF total252954203353
GF avg1.41.51.51.11.71.4
GA total203050171734
GA avg1.11.61.40.90.90.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBury TownWorcester City
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.581%73%70%62%
1.546%41%41%27%
2.514%16%19%3%
3.55%5%8%0%
4.50%0%3%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBury TownWorcester City
HATHAT
Clean sheets55107714
Failed to score2575611

Penalties

MetricBury TownWorcester City
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricBury TownWorcester City
Wins23
Draws22
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-33-00-6
Biggest losses1-34-21-32-0
Goals For4336
Goals Against4432

Model comparison

MetricBury TownWorcester City
Form46%54%
Att77%23%
Def23%77%
Poisson Distribution36%64%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total47.0%53.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Worcester City

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.85 @ Superbet
Draw3.40 @ Bet365
Away2.37 @ Dafabet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.90 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.90 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.68 @ Superbet
No2.08 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Bury Town = 0.79 (league 1.59), Worcester City = 1.41 (league 1.33)

Worcester City
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bury Town 0 11.0% 15.6% 11.0% 5.2% 1.8% 0.5%
1 8.8% 12.3% 8.7% 4.1% 1.4% 0.4%
2 3.5% 4.9% 3.5% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%
3 0.9% 1.3% 0.9% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 21.0% · Draw 27.3% · Away win 51.3%

vtt 1 , vtd1