Non League Premier - Southern Central — England
Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 14:00 • Woodside Park
Not Started

Barwell

—

Bishop's Stortford

Expected Goals
1.26 (league 1.55) 1.89 (league 1.34)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
25.2% 22.5% 50.9%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.2%
1 - 2
9.6%
0 - 1
8.1%
Score & goals probability table
Bishop's Stortford
0 1 2 3 4 5
Barwell 0 4.3% 8.1% 7.7% 4.8% 2.3% 0.9%
1 5.4% 10.2% 9.6% 6.1% 2.9% 1.1%
2 3.4% 6.4% 6.1% 3.8% 1.8% 0.7%
3 1.4% 2.7% 2.5% 1.6% 0.8% 0.3%
4 0.4% 0.8% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
FootyWow Elo verdict

Away strong edge

Bishop's Stortford carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 100 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Barwell -32.7, Bishop's Stortford -7.0.

Strong confidence Upset risk: Low Elo standalone
Barwell Elo 1340.9 · -32.7
vs
Bishop's Stortford Elo 1476.2 · -7.0
Elo gapBishop's Stortford +100
Home / draw / away29% / 19% / 52%
Expected home share36%
Combined Elo2817.1
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge Away strong edge
Confidence band Strong confidence
Upset risk Low
Model agreement Elo standalone
Combined Elo 2817.1
Elo home share 36%
Match tone Tactical Watch
Metric Barwell Bishop's Stortford
Overall Elo1340.91476.2
Form Elo1304.91470.2
Home / Away Elo1421.91487.9
Attack Elo1445.31471.8
Defense Elo1259.31457.3
Last 5 Elo change-32.7-7.0

This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Barwell last-5 Elo change: -32.7; Bishop's Stortford last-5 Elo change: -7.0.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBarwellBishop's Stortford
Played55
Form0%20%
Attack21%16%
Defense26%58%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.83 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)14 | 2.88 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

86%
FT probability

2.5+

61%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0-0
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Barwell Bishop's Stortford
HATHAT
Played202141212041
Wins25%14%20%43%20%32%
Draws15%24%20%10%40%24%
Loses60%62%61%48%40%44%
BarwellWLLLWDLLWDDWLWLWDDDLLWDDLLLLLLWLLLLLLLLLL
Bishop's StortfordWWWWLLLWDWLLLLWDLDWDWLWDLLDLLWWLLLWDLDLDD

League goals

Metric Barwell Bishop's Stortford
HATHAT
GF total262349282351
GF avg1.31.11.21.31.21.2
GA total424183343064
GA avg2.12.02.01.61.51.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBarwellBishop's Stortford
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.568%88%71%73%
1.534%63%29%41%
2.510%27%12%22%
3.55%15%7%17%
4.52%7%2%2%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBarwellBishop's Stortford
HATHAT
Clean sheets2356511
Failed to score76136612

Penalties

MetricBarwellBishop's Stortford
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%6 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total56

Streaks

MetricBarwellBishop's Stortford
Wins14
Draws31
Losses64

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-20-46-10-4
Biggest losses2-64-00-54-0
Goals For5464
Goals Against6554

Model comparison

MetricBarwellBishop's Stortford
Form0%100%
Att57%43%
Def36%64%
Poisson Distribution42%58%
H2h33%67%
Goals56%44%
Total44.8%55.2%
💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.47 @ Betano
Draw3.85 @ Betano
Away2.35 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.50 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.50 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.44 @ Betano
No2.62 @ 1xBet
📊

League standings

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