Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 14:00 •
Quattro tech Westwood Road
Expected Goals
1.01 (league 1.55)
1.40 (league 1.34)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 27.0% | 27.0% | 45.7% |
best score tips
1 - 1
12.7%
0 - 1
12.6%
1 - 0
9.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Stratford Town | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| St Ives Town | 0 | 9.0% | 12.6% | 8.8% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 9.1% | 12.7% | 8.9% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 4.6% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Away strong edge
Stratford Town carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 103 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: St Ives Town -5.3, Stratford Town +15.0.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
St Ives Town
vs
Stratford Town
Elo gapStratford Town +103
Home / draw / away29% / 18% / 53%
Expected home share36%
Combined Elo2940.3
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Away strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2940.3
Elo home share
36%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | St Ives Town | Stratford Town |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1401.1 | 1539.2 |
| Form Elo | 1395.4 | 1555.7 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1449.3 | 1496 |
| Attack Elo | 1457.1 | 1555.2 |
| Defense Elo | 1356.2 | 1535.4 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -5.3 | +15.0 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. St Ives Town last-5 Elo change: -5.3; Stratford Town last-5 Elo change: +15.0.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | St Ives Town | Stratford Town |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 53% |
| Attack | 42% | 47% |
| Defense | 47% | 68% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
79%
FT probability
2.5+
56%
FT probability
3.5+
40%
FT probability
BTTS
72%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | St Ives Town | Stratford Town | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 20 | 21 | 41 | 21 | 20 | 41 |
| Wins | 25% | 19% | 22% | 52% | 30% | 41% |
| Draws | 35% | 19% | 27% | 19% | 25% | 22% |
| Loses | 40% | 62% | 51% | 29% | 45% | 37% |
St Ives TownLWDLDWWLDDLWDWWDLLLLWLDWDLLLLLLLLLDDLLWLD
Stratford TownLLLWDWDLWWWDLDDLLWWWWWWLWLLLDLLDLWWWDDWWL
League goals
| Metric | St Ives Town | Stratford Town | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 23 | 27 | 50 | 40 | 21 | 61 |
| GF avg | 1.2 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.9 | 1.1 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 33 | 40 | 73 | 28 | 26 | 54 |
| GA avg | 1.7 | 1.9 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | St Ives Town | Stratford Town | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 73% | 83% | 71% | 80% |
| 1.5 | 37% | 59% | 49% | 32% |
| 2.5 | 10% | 22% | 15% | 10% |
| 3.5 | 2% | 10% | 10% | 5% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 2% | 2% | 5% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | St Ives Town | Stratford Town | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 7 | 11 | 3 | 9 | 12 |
Penalties
| Metric | St Ives Town | Stratford Town |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 5 | 100.00% | 6 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 5 | 6 |
Streaks
| Metric | St Ives Town | Stratford Town |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 6 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 9 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 0-4 | 6-1 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-4 | 6-1 | 0-3 | 5-2 |
| Goals For | 2 | 4 | 6 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 6 | 3 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | St Ives Town | Stratford Town |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 33% | 67% |
| Att | 47% | 53% |
| Def | 38% | 63% |
| Poisson Distribution | 44% | 56% |
| H2h | 7% | 93% |
| Goals | 22% | 78% |
| Total | 31.8% | 68.3% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.63 @ Betfair
Draw3.70 @ Betano
Away2.30 @ Betano
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.53 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.38 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.45 @ Betano
No2.53 @ 1xBet
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League standings
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