Sat, Feb 14 2026 • 15:00 • Winklebury Football Complex
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.26 (league 1.66) 2.32 (league 1.32)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
19.5% 19.2% 57.9%
best score tips
1 - 2
9.4%
1 - 1
8.1%
0 - 2
7.5%
Score & goals probability table
Poole Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Basingstoke Town 0 2.8% 6.4% 7.5% 5.8% 3.4% 1.6%
1 3.5% 8.1% 9.4% 7.3% 4.2% 2.0%
2 2.2% 5.1% 6.0% 4.6% 2.7% 1.2%
3 0.9% 2.2% 2.5% 1.9% 1.1% 0.5%
4 0.3% 0.7% 0.8% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBasingstoke TownPoole Town
Played55
Form20%53%
Attack27%73%
Defense55%36%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.68 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

89%
FT probability

2.5+

63%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

77%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Basingstoke Town Poole Town
HATHAT
Played151429151429
Wins47%21%34%53%57%55%
Draws13%29%21%33%14%24%
Loses40%50%45%13%29%21%

Form: Basingstoke Town: WDDDLLLWLLWWLLWWLLLLWWWWDLLDD • Poole Town: WLWDWWDDWWWLWLLWDWDWWLWWDDWLW

League goals

Metric Basingstoke Town Poole Town
HATHAT
GF total221739362561
GF avg1.51.21.32.41.82.1
GA total251944161935
GA avg1.71.41.51.11.41.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBasingstoke TownPoole Town
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.576%90%86%66%
1.534%41%59%31%
2.514%17%28%14%
3.510%3%17%7%
4.50%0%10%3%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBasingstoke TownPoole Town
HATHAT
Clean sheets2136410
Failed to score257224

Penalties

MetricBasingstoke TownPoole Town
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%10 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total410

Streaks

MetricBasingstoke TownPoole Town
Wins43
Draws32
Losses42

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-21-47-01-4
Biggest losses1-43-20-14-1
Goals For4474
Goals Against4354

Model comparison

MetricBasingstoke TownPoole Town
Form27%73%
Att27%73%
Def58%42%
Poisson Distribution34%66%
H2h40%60%
Goals46%54%
Total38.7%61.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Poole Town

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.25 @ William Hill
Draw3.75 @ William Hill
Away2.25 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.70 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.10 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.57 @ William Hill
No2.28 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Basingstoke Town = 1.26 (league 1.66), Poole Town = 2.32 (league 1.32)

Poole Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Basingstoke Town 0 2.8% 6.4% 7.5% 5.8% 3.4% 1.6%
1 3.5% 8.1% 9.4% 7.3% 4.2% 2.0%
2 2.2% 5.1% 6.0% 4.6% 2.7% 1.2%
3 0.9% 2.2% 2.5% 1.9% 1.1% 0.5%
4 0.3% 0.7% 0.8% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 19.5% · Draw 19.2% · Away win 57.9%

vtt 1 , vtd1