Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 14:00 •
New Meadow Park
Expected Goals
1.99 (league 1.70)
1.87 (league 1.35)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 40.3% | 21.1% | 35.8% |
best score tips
1 - 1
7.8%
2 - 1
7.8%
1 - 2
7.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Walton & Hersham | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Gloucester City | 0 | 2.1% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 4.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 0.8% | |
| 2 | 4.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 0.8% | |
| 3 | 2.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% | |
| 4 | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | |
| 5 | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Away lean
Walton & Hersham carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 20 points. This sits in the lean confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Gloucester City -3.6, Walton & Hersham -58.5.
Lean confidence
Upset risk: Medium-high
Elo standalone
Gloucester City
vs
Walton & Hersham
Elo gapWalton & Hersham +20
Home / draw / away34% / 28% / 38%
Expected home share47%
Combined Elo3273
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Away lean
Confidence band
Lean confidence
Upset risk
Medium-high
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3273
Elo home share
47%
Match tone
Must Watch
| Metric | Gloucester City | Walton & Hersham |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1609.1 | 1663.9 |
| Form Elo | 1604.1 | 1646 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1569.3 | 1610.3 |
| Attack Elo | 1770.2 | 1781.4 |
| Defense Elo | 1601.2 | 1638.2 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -3.6 | -58.5 |
There is a measurable Elo lean, but the gap still leaves room for the game state and finishing variance to reshape the result. Gloucester City last-5 Elo change: -3.6; Walton & Hersham last-5 Elo change: -58.5.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Gloucester City | Walton & Hersham |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 27% |
| Attack | 85% | 46% |
| Defense | 62% | 23% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 10 | 2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
70%
FT probability
3.5+
50%
FT probability
BTTS
76%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0-0
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Gloucester City | Walton & Hersham | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 20 | 21 | 41 | 21 | 20 | 41 |
| Wins | 75% | 43% | 59% | 76% | 65% | 71% |
| Draws | 10% | 24% | 17% | 14% | 10% | 12% |
| Loses | 15% | 33% | 24% | 10% | 25% | 17% |
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Walton & HershamWLDWWWWWWWWWWWWDWWDWWWWLLWDLWWWWWWWWWLLLD
League goals
| Metric | Gloucester City | Walton & Hersham | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 51 | 41 | 92 | 53 | 41 | 94 |
| GF avg | 2.6 | 2.0 | 2.2 | 2.5 | 2.1 | 2.3 |
| GA total | 23 | 28 | 51 | 16 | 25 | 41 |
| GA avg | 1.2 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Gloucester City | Walton & Hersham | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 90% | 68% | 90% | 61% |
| 1.5 | 71% | 41% | 66% | 27% |
| 2.5 | 37% | 12% | 39% | 12% |
| 3.5 | 12% | 2% | 17% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 10% | 0% | 10% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Gloucester City | Walton & Hersham | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 7 | 6 | 13 | 10 | 6 | 16 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Gloucester City | Walton & Hersham |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 6 | 100.00% | 5 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 6 | 5 |
Streaks
| Metric | Gloucester City | Walton & Hersham |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 12 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 6-1 | 0-6 | 6-0 | 0-4 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 3-0 | 1-2 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 6 | 6 | 6 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Gloucester City | Walton & Hersham |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 69% | 31% |
| Att | 65% | 35% |
| Def | 67% | 33% |
| Poisson Distribution | 52% | 48% |
| H2h | 20% | 80% |
| Goals | 41% | 59% |
| Total | 52.3% | 47.7% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.07 @ Betano
Draw4.00 @ Bet365
Away2.90 @ Betano
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.57 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.35 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.50 @ Betano
No2.41 @ 1xBet
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League standings
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