Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 14:00 •
The Powerday Stadium
Expected Goals
1.50 (league 1.70)
1.22 (league 1.35)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 43.3% | 25.4% | 30.7% |
best score tips
1 - 1
12.0%
1 - 0
9.8%
2 - 1
9.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Basingstoke Town | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Hanwell Town | 0 | 6.6% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 9.8% | 12.0% | 7.4% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 7.4% | 9.0% | 5.5% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 3.7% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home edge
Hanwell Town carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 55 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Hanwell Town -15.3, Basingstoke Town +18.5.
Medium confidence
Upset risk: Medium
Elo standalone
Hanwell Town
vs
Basingstoke Town
Elo gapHanwell Town +55
Home / draw / away44% / 24% / 32%
Expected home share58%
Combined Elo2978.7
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home edge
Confidence band
Medium confidence
Upset risk
Medium
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2978.7
Elo home share
58%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | Hanwell Town | Basingstoke Town |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1499.2 | 1479.5 |
| Form Elo | 1488.9 | 1492.6 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1518 | 1483.2 |
| Attack Elo | 1506.7 | 1521.1 |
| Defense Elo | 1479.2 | 1440.5 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -15.3 | +18.5 |
The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. Hanwell Town last-5 Elo change: -15.3; Basingstoke Town last-5 Elo change: +18.5.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Hanwell Town | Basingstoke Town |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 67% |
| Attack | 46% | 77% |
| Defense | 46% | 38% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 10 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
84%
FT probability
2.5+
59%
FT probability
3.5+
42%
FT probability
BTTS
74%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0-0
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Hanwell Town | Basingstoke Town | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 20 | 21 | 41 | 21 | 20 | 41 |
| Wins | 40% | 24% | 32% | 43% | 25% | 34% |
| Draws | 35% | 14% | 24% | 19% | 25% | 22% |
| Loses | 25% | 62% | 44% | 38% | 50% | 44% |
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Basingstoke TownWDDDLLLWLLWWLLWWLLLLWWWWDLLDDLLLLDWDDLWWW
League goals
| Metric | Hanwell Town | Basingstoke Town | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 29 | 26 | 55 | 31 | 29 | 60 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 22 | 40 | 62 | 35 | 34 | 69 |
| GA avg | 1.1 | 1.9 | 1.5 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 1.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Hanwell Town | Basingstoke Town | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 71% | 78% | 78% | 88% |
| 1.5 | 34% | 49% | 39% | 44% |
| 2.5 | 20% | 17% | 20% | 24% |
| 3.5 | 7% | 5% | 10% | 7% |
| 4.5 | 2% | 2% | 0% | 2% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Hanwell Town | Basingstoke Town | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 7 | 2 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 9 | 12 | 3 | 6 | 9 |
Penalties
| Metric | Hanwell Town | Basingstoke Town |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 4 | 100.00% | 12 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 4 | 12 |
Streaks
| Metric | Hanwell Town | Basingstoke Town |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 4 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 4 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 1-5 | 4-2 | 0-4 |
| Biggest losses | 0-4 | 5-0 | 1-4 | 6-2 |
| Goals For | 4 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 5 | 4 | 6 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Hanwell Town | Basingstoke Town |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 29% | 71% |
| Att | 38% | 63% |
| Def | 53% | 47% |
| Poisson Distribution | 55% | 45% |
| H2h | 40% | 60% |
| Goals | 52% | 48% |
| Total | 44.5% | 55.7% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.47 @ Betano
Draw3.60 @ Betfair
Away2.49 @ Marathonbet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.62 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.25 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.52 @ Betano
No2.34 @ 1xBet
📊
League standings
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