Tue, Oct 7 2025 • 18:45 •
Craik Park
Expected Goals
0.65 (league 1.47)
1.04 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 22.5% | 33.1% | 44.3% |
best score tips
0 - 1
19.2%
0 - 0
18.3%
1 - 1
12.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Gainsborough Trinity | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Morpeth Town | 0 | 18.3% | 19.2% | 10.0% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 12.0% | 12.5% | 6.5% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 3.9% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Morpeth Town | Gainsborough Trinity |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 13% | 80% |
| Attack | 19% | 38% |
| Defense | 50% | 88% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 2 | 0.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
58%
FT probability
2.5+
41%
FT probability
3.5+
29%
FT probability
BTTS
58%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Morpeth Town | Gainsborough Trinity | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
| Wins | 25% | 0% | 11% | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Draws | 25% | 20% | 22% | 20% | 0% | 10% |
| Loses | 50% | 80% | 67% | 20% | 40% | 30% |
Form: Morpeth Town: LLLWLLDDL • Gainsborough Trinity: LWLWDWWWWL
League goals
| Metric | Morpeth Town | Gainsborough Trinity | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 11 |
| GF avg | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 4 | 8 | 12 | 3 | 6 | 9 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 1.2 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Morpeth Town | Gainsborough Trinity | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 56% | 78% | 70% | 30% |
| 1.5 | 0% | 44% | 40% | 30% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 11% | 0% | 20% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 10% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Morpeth Town | Gainsborough Trinity | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Morpeth Town | Gainsborough Trinity |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Morpeth Town | Gainsborough Trinity |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 4 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 1-0 | — | 2-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 3-1 | 0-3 | 4-2 |
| Goals For | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Morpeth Town | Gainsborough Trinity |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 14% | 86% |
| Att | 33% | 67% |
| Def | 20% | 80% |
| Poisson Distribution | 33% | 67% |
| H2h | 80% | 20% |
| Goals | 73% | 27% |
| Total | 42.2% | 57.8% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Gainsborough Trinity and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Morpeth Town = 0.65 (league 1.47), Gainsborough Trinity = 1.04 (league 1.15)
| Gainsborough Trinity | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Morpeth Town | 0 | 18.3% | 19.2% | 10.0% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 12.0% | 12.5% | 6.5% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 3.9% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 22.5% · Draw 33.1% · Away win 44.3%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1