Tue, Dec 2 2025 • 19:45 • Craik Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.14 (league 1.48) 0.95 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
40.0% 29.8% 30.0%
best score tips
1 - 0
14.1%
1 - 1
13.4%
0 - 0
12.3%
Score & goals probability table
Gainsborough Trinity
0 1 2 3 4 5
Morpeth Town 0 12.3% 11.7% 5.5% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
1 14.1% 13.4% 6.3% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 8.1% 7.7% 3.6% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
3 3.1% 2.9% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.9% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMorpeth TownGainsborough Trinity
Played55
Form67%33%
Attack67%50%
Defense67%25%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.66 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.89 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

68%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Morpeth Town Gainsborough Trinity
HATHAT
Played99188715
Wins56%0%28%38%57%47%
Draws11%22%17%25%14%20%
Loses33%78%56%38%29%33%

Form: Morpeth Town: LLLWLLDDLLLWLWWLWD • Gainsborough Trinity: LWLWDWWWWLLWDDL

League goals

Metric Morpeth Town Gainsborough Trinity
HATHAT
GF total1271971017
GF avg1.30.81.10.91.41.1
GA total717249918
GA avg0.81.91.31.11.31.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMorpeth TownGainsborough Trinity
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%67%73%53%
1.528%44%40%33%
2.511%17%0%20%
3.50%6%0%13%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMorpeth TownGainsborough Trinity
HATHAT
Clean sheets426437
Failed to score156314

Penalties

MetricMorpeth TownGainsborough Trinity
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricMorpeth TownGainsborough Trinity
Wins24
Draws22
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-0—2-00-2
Biggest losses1-23-11-44-2
Goals For3322
Goals Against2444

Model comparison

MetricMorpeth TownGainsborough Trinity
Form67%33%
Att57%43%
Def69%31%
Poisson Distribution54%46%
H2h80%20%
Goals73%27%
Total66.7%33.3%

Advice: Double chance : Morpeth Town or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.81 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.30 @ Betfair
Away2.60 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.38 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.95 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.93 @ Marathonbet
No2.20 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Morpeth Town = 1.14 (league 1.48), Gainsborough Trinity = 0.95 (league 1.18)

Gainsborough Trinity
0 1 2 3 4 5
Morpeth Town 0 12.3% 11.7% 5.5% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
1 14.1% 13.4% 6.3% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 8.1% 7.7% 3.6% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
3 3.1% 2.9% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.9% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 40.0% · Draw 29.8% · Away win 30.0%

vtt 1 , vtd1