Tue, Oct 28 2025 • 19:45 • Kal Group Stadium
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.18 (league 1.49) 0.78 (league 1.16)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
45.1% 30.3% 24.4%
best score tips
1 - 0
16.5%
0 - 0
14.0%
1 - 1
13.0%
Score & goals probability table
Leek Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Gainsborough Trinity 0 14.0% 11.0% 4.3% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
1 16.5% 13.0% 5.1% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
2 9.8% 7.7% 3.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 3.9% 3.0% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.1% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGainsborough TrinityLeek Town
Played55
Form60%7%
Attack26%21%
Defense79%42%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.811 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Gainsborough Trinity Leek Town
HATHAT
Played66127613
Wins50%67%58%43%17%31%
Draws17%0%8%0%33%15%
Loses33%33%33%57%50%54%

Form: Gainsborough Trinity: LWLWDWWWWLLW • Leek Town: LLWLDWWWLLLLD

League goals

Metric Gainsborough Trinity Leek Town
HATHAT
GF total58139817
GF avg0.81.31.11.31.31.3
GA total471191322
GA avg0.71.20.91.32.21.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGainsborough TrinityLeek Town
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%42%62%85%
1.542%25%38%54%
2.50%17%23%31%
3.50%8%8%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGainsborough TrinityLeek Town
HATHAT
Clean sheets437202
Failed to score314325

Penalties

MetricGainsborough TrinityLeek Town
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricGainsborough TrinityLeek Town
Wins43
Draws11
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-24-01-2
Biggest losses0-34-20-33-0
Goals For2243
Goals Against3433

Model comparison

MetricGainsborough TrinityLeek Town
Form90%10%
Att56%44%
Def73%27%
Poisson Distribution59%41%
H2h100%0%
Goals67%33%
Total69.0%31.0%

Advice: Double chance : Gainsborough Trinity or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.75 @ Superbet
Draw4.00 @ Bet365
Away5.00 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.75 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.12 @ Superbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.73 @ Betfair
No2.15 @ Superbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Gainsborough Trinity = 1.18 (league 1.49), Leek Town = 0.78 (league 1.16)

Leek Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Gainsborough Trinity 0 14.0% 11.0% 4.3% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
1 16.5% 13.0% 5.1% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
2 9.8% 7.7% 3.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 3.9% 3.0% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.1% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 45.1% · Draw 30.3% · Away win 24.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1