Tue, Feb 24 2026 • 19:45 • Kal Group Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.34 (league 1.48) 1.10 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
42.0% 27.1% 30.5%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.8%
1 - 0
11.7%
0 - 1
9.6%
Score & goals probability table
Leek Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Gainsborough Trinity 0 8.7% 9.6% 5.3% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
1 11.7% 12.8% 7.1% 2.6% 0.7% 0.2%
2 7.8% 8.6% 4.7% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
3 3.5% 3.8% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.2% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGainsborough TrinityLeek Town
Played55
Form53%47%
Attack82%45%
Defense36%64%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.44 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

75%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Gainsborough Trinity Leek Town
HATHAT
Played141529151530
Wins36%53%45%40%27%33%
Draws43%20%31%20%20%20%
Loses21%27%24%40%53%47%

Form: Gainsborough Trinity: LWLWDWWWWLLWDDLDWDDLWWDWLWDWD • Leek Town: LLWLDWWWLLLLDLWWDWLLLDLWDLWWLD

League goals

Metric Gainsborough Trinity Leek Town
HATHAT
GF total152540191938
GF avg1.11.71.41.31.31.3
GA total141731172744
GA avg1.01.11.11.11.81.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGainsborough TrinityLeek Town
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.579%59%67%80%
1.545%24%40%43%
2.514%17%17%17%
3.50%7%3%3%
4.50%0%0%3%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGainsborough TrinityLeek Town
HATHAT
Clean sheets7512516
Failed to score4265510

Penalties

MetricGainsborough TrinityLeek Town
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricGainsborough TrinityLeek Town
Wins43
Draws21
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-34-00-3
Biggest losses1-44-20-35-1
Goals For3343
Goals Against4435

Model comparison

MetricGainsborough TrinityLeek Town
Form53%47%
Att64%36%
Def36%64%
Poisson Distribution54%46%
H2h67%33%
Goals57%43%
Total55.2%44.8%

Advice: Double chance : Gainsborough Trinity or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.67 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.99 @ Pinnacle
Away4.60 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.85 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.95 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.78 @ Betano
No1.91 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Gainsborough Trinity = 1.34 (league 1.48), Leek Town = 1.10 (league 1.18)

Leek Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Gainsborough Trinity 0 8.7% 9.6% 5.3% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
1 11.7% 12.8% 7.1% 2.6% 0.7% 0.2%
2 7.8% 8.6% 4.7% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
3 3.5% 3.8% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.2% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 42.0% · Draw 27.1% · Away win 30.5%

vtt 1 , vtd1