Tue, Dec 16 2025 • 19:45 • Kal Group Stadium
Match Postponed
Expected Goals
1.03 (league 1.48) 1.19 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
31.5% 28.8% 39.5%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.3%
0 - 1
12.9%
1 - 0
11.1%
Score & goals probability table
Leek Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Gainsborough Trinity 0 10.8% 12.9% 7.7% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2%
1 11.1% 13.3% 7.9% 3.2% 0.9% 0.2%
2 5.7% 6.9% 4.1% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
3 2.0% 2.4% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGainsborough TrinityLeek Town
Played55
Form40%67%
Attack67%75%
Defense33%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.69 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.64 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

73%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Gainsborough Trinity Leek Town
HATHAT
Played991891019
Wins33%56%44%44%30%37%
Draws33%22%28%11%20%16%
Loses33%22%28%44%50%47%

Form: Gainsborough Trinity: LWLWDWWWWLLWDDLDWD • Leek Town: LLWLDWWWLLLLDLWWDWL

League goals

Metric Gainsborough Trinity Leek Town
HATHAT
GF total81422131326
GF avg0.91.61.21.41.31.4
GA total101020111728
GA avg1.11.11.11.21.71.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGainsborough TrinityLeek Town
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.578%56%63%79%
1.539%28%47%47%
2.56%17%21%21%
3.50%11%5%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGainsborough TrinityLeek Town
HATHAT
Clean sheets448314
Failed to score314347

Penalties

MetricGainsborough TrinityLeek Town
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricGainsborough TrinityLeek Town
Wins43
Draws21
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-34-00-3
Biggest losses1-44-20-33-0
Goals For2343
Goals Against4433

Model comparison

MetricGainsborough TrinityLeek Town
Form38%63%
Att47%53%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution46%54%
H2h100%0%
Goals67%33%
Total46.2%54.0%

Advice: Double chance : Gainsborough Trinity or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.92 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.70 @ Superbet
Away3.82 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.02 @ SBO
Under 2.51.85 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.82 @ Superbet
No1.95 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Gainsborough Trinity = 1.03 (league 1.48), Leek Town = 1.19 (league 1.20)

Leek Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Gainsborough Trinity 0 10.8% 12.9% 7.7% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2%
1 11.1% 13.3% 7.9% 3.2% 0.9% 0.2%
2 5.7% 6.9% 4.1% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
3 2.0% 2.4% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 31.5% · Draw 28.8% · Away win 39.5%

vtt 1 , vtd1