Sat, Oct 11 2025 • 14:00 • Nethermoor Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.08 (league 1.47) 0.70 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
67.6% 19.1% 11.3%
best score tips
2 - 0
13.5%
1 - 0
13.0%
2 - 1
9.4%
Score & goals probability table
Ilkeston Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Guiseley AFC 0 6.2% 4.3% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 13.0% 9.0% 3.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.5% 9.4% 3.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
3 9.3% 6.5% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 4.8% 3.4% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.0% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGuiseley AFCIlkeston Town
Played55
Form47%40%
Attack50%58%
Defense58%8%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 111 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Guiseley AFC Ilkeston Town
HATHAT
Played66126612
Wins50%17%33%50%33%42%
Draws17%17%17%0%0%0%
Loses33%67%50%50%67%58%

Form: Guiseley AFC: LWLWLDLWLWDL • Ilkeston Town: WLWLLWLLLLWW

League goals

Metric Guiseley AFC Ilkeston Town
HATHAT
GF total112138614
GF avg1.80.31.11.31.01.2
GA total5101571017
GA avg0.81.71.31.21.71.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGuiseley AFCIlkeston Town
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.542%75%58%83%
1.533%33%42%42%
2.525%8%17%17%
3.58%8%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGuiseley AFCIlkeston Town
HATHAT
Clean sheets123202
Failed to score257325

Penalties

MetricGuiseley AFCIlkeston Town
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total23

Streaks

MetricGuiseley AFCIlkeston Town
Wins11
Draws10
Losses14

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-23-01-2
Biggest losses0-14-00-33-1
Goals For4232
Goals Against1433

Model comparison

MetricGuiseley AFCIlkeston Town
Form54%46%
Att46%54%
Def69%31%
Poisson Distribution70%30%
H2h50%50%
Goals58%42%
Total57.8%42.2%

Advice: Double chance : Guiseley AFC or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.23 @ Unibet
Draw3.58 @ Pinnacle
Away3.20 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.89 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.95 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.73 @ William Hill
No2.10 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Guiseley AFC = 2.08 (league 1.47), Ilkeston Town = 0.70 (league 1.15)

Ilkeston Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Guiseley AFC 0 6.2% 4.3% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 13.0% 9.0% 3.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.5% 9.4% 3.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
3 9.3% 6.5% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 4.8% 3.4% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.0% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 67.6% · Draw 19.1% · Away win 11.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1