Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.51 (league 1.48) 1.13 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
45.7% 25.6% 28.1%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.2%
1 - 0
10.8%
2 - 1
9.2%
Score & goals probability table
Ashton United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Stockton Town 0 7.1% 8.0% 4.5% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
1 10.8% 12.2% 6.8% 2.6% 0.7% 0.2%
2 8.2% 9.2% 5.2% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
3 4.1% 4.7% 2.6% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.6% 1.8% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricStockton TownAshton United
Played55
Form73%33%
Attack91%55%
Defense45%18%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.29 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Stockton Town Ashton United
HATHAT
Played65117411
Wins67%20%45%43%25%36%
Draws33%60%45%29%50%36%
Loses0%20%9%29%25%27%

Form: Stockton Town: DWDLDWWDWWD • Ashton United: WDWLDWDDLLW

League goals

Metric Stockton Town Ashton United
HATHAT
GF total175229514
GF avg2.81.02.01.31.31.3
GA total66129312
GA avg1.01.21.11.30.81.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineStockton TownAshton United
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.582%64%82%64%
1.573%45%27%18%
2.518%0%18%18%
3.59%0%0%9%
4.59%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricStockton TownAshton United
HATHAT
Clean sheets314314
Failed to score022112

Penalties

MetricStockton TownAshton United
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricStockton TownAshton United
Wins21
Draws12
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-01-23-10-3
Biggest losses2-01-41-0
Goals For6233
Goals Against2241

Model comparison

MetricStockton TownAshton United
Form69%31%
Att63%38%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution53%47%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total57.5%42.7%

Advice: Double chance : Stockton Town or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.85 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.70 @ Pinnacle
Away3.76 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.79 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.05 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.64 @ Marathonbet
No2.10 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Stockton Town = 1.51 (league 1.48), Ashton United = 1.13 (league 1.15)

Ashton United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Stockton Town 0 7.1% 8.0% 4.5% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
1 10.8% 12.2% 6.8% 2.6% 0.7% 0.2%
2 8.2% 9.2% 5.2% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
3 4.1% 4.7% 2.6% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.6% 1.8% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 45.7% · Draw 25.6% · Away win 28.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1