Sat, Oct 25 2025 • 14:00 •
F. Ball Community Stadium
Expected Goals
0.71 (league 1.47)
1.58 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 16.5% | 25.0% | 57.9% |
best score tips
0 - 1
16.0%
0 - 2
12.7%
1 - 1
11.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Ashton United | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Leek Town | 0 | 10.1% | 16.0% | 12.7% | 6.7% | 2.7% | 0.8% |
| 1 | 7.2% | 11.3% | 9.0% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 0.6% | |
| 2 | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Leek Town | Ashton United |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 7% | 47% |
| Attack | 27% | 47% |
| Defense | 27% | 40% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 9 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
73%
FT probability
2.5+
51%
FT probability
3.5+
36%
FT probability
BTTS
69%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Leek Town | Ashton United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 7 | 6 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 12 |
| Wins | 43% | 17% | 31% | 43% | 40% | 42% |
| Draws | 0% | 33% | 15% | 29% | 40% | 33% |
| Loses | 57% | 50% | 54% | 29% | 20% | 25% |
Form: Leek Town: LLWLDWWWLLLLD • Ashton United: WDWLDWDDLLWW
League goals
| Metric | Leek Town | Ashton United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 9 | 8 | 17 | 9 | 7 | 16 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 9 | 13 | 22 | 9 | 4 | 13 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 2.2 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Leek Town | Ashton United | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 62% | 85% | 83% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 38% | 54% | 33% | 17% |
| 2.5 | 23% | 31% | 17% | 17% |
| 3.5 | 8% | 0% | 0% | 8% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Leek Town | Ashton United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Leek Town | Ashton United |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Leek Town | Ashton United |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 4 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 1-2 | 3-1 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 3-0 | 1-4 | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Leek Town | Ashton United |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 13% | 88% |
| Att | 36% | 64% |
| Def | 45% | 55% |
| Poisson Distribution | 28% | 72% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 60% | 40% |
| Total | 38.7% | 61.5% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Ashton United
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Leek Town = 0.71 (league 1.47), Ashton United = 1.58 (league 1.15)
| Ashton United | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Leek Town | 0 | 10.1% | 16.0% | 12.7% | 6.7% | 2.7% | 0.8% |
| 1 | 7.2% | 11.3% | 9.0% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 0.6% | |
| 2 | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 16.5% · Draw 25.0% · Away win 57.9%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1