Sat, Nov 15 2025 • 15:03 • Hurst Cross
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.48 (league 1.48) 0.94 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
49.5% 26.3% 23.7%
best score tips
1 - 0
13.2%
1 - 1
12.4%
2 - 0
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
Morpeth Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ashton United 0 8.9% 8.3% 3.9% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
1 13.2% 12.4% 5.8% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
2 9.8% 9.2% 4.3% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 4.8% 4.5% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.8% 1.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAshton UnitedMorpeth Town
Played55
Form40%60%
Attack38%62%
Defense31%62%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 18 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.85 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Ashton United Morpeth Town
HATHAT
Played88168715
Wins38%38%38%50%0%27%
Draws25%25%25%13%14%13%
Loses38%38%38%38%86%60%

Form: Ashton United: WDWLDWDDLLWWLLWL • Morpeth Town: LLLWLLDDLLLWLWW

League goals

Metric Ashton United Morpeth Town
HATHAT
GF total9101911516
GF avg1.11.31.21.40.71.1
GA total1382171421
GA avg1.61.01.30.92.01.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAshton UnitedMorpeth Town
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%69%67%73%
1.531%31%27%47%
2.513%19%13%13%
3.50%13%0%7%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAshton UnitedMorpeth Town
HATHAT
Clean sheets325314
Failed to score224145

Penalties

MetricAshton UnitedMorpeth Town
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricAshton UnitedMorpeth Town
Wins21
Draws22
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-33-0—
Biggest losses0-42-01-23-1
Goals For3333
Goals Against4224

Model comparison

MetricAshton UnitedMorpeth Town
Form40%60%
Att38%62%
Def36%64%
Poisson Distribution59%41%
H2h71%29%
Goals60%40%
Total50.7%49.3%

Advice: Double chance : Ashton United or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.27 @ Betano
Draw3.85 @ Superbet
Away2.90 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.80 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.00 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.69 @ Superbet
No2.25 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Ashton United = 1.48 (league 1.48), Morpeth Town = 0.94 (league 1.20)

Morpeth Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ashton United 0 8.9% 8.3% 3.9% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
1 13.2% 12.4% 5.8% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
2 9.8% 9.2% 4.3% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 4.8% 4.5% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.8% 1.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 49.5% · Draw 26.3% · Away win 23.7%

vtt 5 , vtd1