Sat, Nov 22 2025 • 15:00 • Giant Axe Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.14 (league 1.48) 0.50 (league 1.19)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
51.5% 32.1% 16.3%
best score tips
1 - 0
22.0%
0 - 0
19.2%
2 - 0
12.6%
Score & goals probability table
Stockton Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lancaster City 0 19.2% 9.7% 2.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 22.0% 11.1% 2.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 12.6% 6.3% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 4.8% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLancaster CityStockton Town
Played55
Form40%27%
Attack31%31%
Defense69%31%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 111 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

59%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lancaster City Stockton Town
HATHAT
Played88168715
Wins50%50%50%50%29%40%
Draws38%25%31%25%43%33%
Loses13%25%19%25%29%27%

Form: Lancaster City: LLWWDWWWWWDWDLDD • Stockton Town: DWDLDWWDWWDLWLL

League goals

Metric Lancaster City Stockton Town
HATHAT
GF total10122218725
GF avg1.31.51.42.31.01.7
GA total591412921
GA avg0.61.10.91.51.31.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLancaster CityStockton Town
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.563%50%73%73%
1.550%31%60%53%
2.525%6%13%7%
3.50%0%7%7%
4.50%0%7%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLancaster CityStockton Town
HATHAT
Clean sheets538314
Failed to score426134

Penalties

MetricLancaster CityStockton Town
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricLancaster CityStockton Town
Wins52
Draws11
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-36-01-2
Biggest losses0-23-20-42-0
Goals For3362
Goals Against2342

Model comparison

MetricLancaster CityStockton Town
Form60%40%
Att50%50%
Def69%31%
Poisson Distribution65%35%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total57.3%42.7%

Advice: Double chance : Lancaster City or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.63 @ Betfair
Draw3.44 @ Pinnacle
Away3.05 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.99 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.85 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.73 @ Betfair
No2.00 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Lancaster City = 1.14 (league 1.48), Stockton Town = 0.50 (league 1.19)

Stockton Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lancaster City 0 19.2% 9.7% 2.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 22.0% 11.1% 2.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 12.6% 6.3% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 4.8% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 51.5% · Draw 32.1% · Away win 16.3%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1