Sat, Nov 29 2025 • 15:00 • F. Ball Community Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.18 (league 1.48) 0.92 (league 1.19)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
63.7% 19.2% 14.7%
best score tips
2 - 0
10.7%
2 - 1
9.8%
1 - 0
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
Workington
0 1 2 3 4 5
Leek Town 0 4.5% 4.1% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 9.8% 9.0% 4.2% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.7% 9.8% 4.5% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 7.8% 7.2% 3.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
4 4.2% 3.9% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.8% 1.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLeek TownWorkington
Played55
Form47%53%
Attack67%67%
Defense50%42%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.68 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Leek Town Workington
HATHAT
Played88169918
Wins50%25%38%11%22%17%
Draws0%25%13%44%11%28%
Loses50%50%50%44%67%56%

Form: Leek Town: LLWLDWWWLLLLDLWW • Workington: LLLLDLWDLDLLLWWDLD

League goals

Metric Leek Town Workington
HATHAT
GF total1111228917
GF avg1.41.41.40.91.00.9
GA total91524112132
GA avg1.11.91.51.22.31.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLeek TownWorkington
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.563%75%61%89%
1.544%50%22%56%
2.525%25%11%17%
3.56%0%0%6%
4.50%0%0%6%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLeek TownWorkington
HATHAT
Clean sheets314112
Failed to score336347

Penalties

MetricLeek TownWorkington
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricLeek TownWorkington
Wins32
Draws11
Losses44

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-33-21-2
Biggest losses0-33-01-26-0
Goals For4333
Goals Against3326

Model comparison

MetricLeek TownWorkington
Form47%53%
Att50%50%
Def54%46%
Poisson Distribution68%32%
H2h38%62%
Goals40%60%
Total49.5%50.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Workington

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.91 @ Betfair
Draw3.89 @ Pinnacle
Away4.20 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.85 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.96 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.75 @ Betano
No2.10 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Leek Town = 2.18 (league 1.48), Workington = 0.92 (league 1.19)

Workington
0 1 2 3 4 5
Leek Town 0 4.5% 4.1% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 9.8% 9.0% 4.2% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.7% 9.8% 4.5% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 7.8% 7.2% 3.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
4 4.2% 3.9% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.8% 1.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 63.7% · Draw 19.2% · Away win 14.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1