Thu, Jan 1 2026 • 13:00 • Craik Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.04 (league 1.48) 0.64 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
44.3% 33.3% 22.3%
best score tips
1 - 0
19.3%
0 - 0
18.6%
1 - 1
12.4%
Score & goals probability table
Stockton Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Morpeth Town 0 18.6% 12.0% 3.8% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
1 19.3% 12.4% 4.0% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
2 10.0% 6.5% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 3.5% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.9% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMorpeth TownStockton Town
Played55
Form53%53%
Attack40%47%
Defense73%73%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.84 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Morpeth Town Stockton Town
HATHAT
Played111122121022
Wins55%9%32%50%40%45%
Draws18%18%18%25%40%32%
Loses27%73%50%25%20%23%

Form: Morpeth Town: LLLWLLDDLLLWLWWLWDDWLW • Stockton Town: DWDLDWWDWWDLWLLWWLDDWW

League goals

Metric Morpeth Town Stockton Town
HATHAT
GF total151025261137
GF avg1.40.91.12.21.11.7
GA total82028161127
GA avg0.71.81.31.31.11.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMorpeth TownStockton Town
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.573%68%77%73%
1.532%41%55%41%
2.59%14%18%5%
3.50%5%9%5%
4.50%0%5%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMorpeth TownStockton Town
HATHAT
Clean sheets527426
Failed to score156235

Penalties

MetricMorpeth TownStockton Town
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total24

Streaks

MetricMorpeth TownStockton Town
Wins22
Draws22
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-26-01-2
Biggest losses1-23-10-42-0
Goals For3362
Goals Against2442

Model comparison

MetricMorpeth TownStockton Town
Form50%50%
Att46%54%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution60%40%
H2h36%64%
Goals36%64%
Total46.3%53.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Stockton Town and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.77 @ 1xBet
Draw3.60 @ Superbet
Away2.38 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.91 @ 188Bet
Under 2.51.95 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.75 @ 188Bet
No2.15 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Morpeth Town = 1.04 (league 1.48), Stockton Town = 0.64 (league 1.20)

Stockton Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Morpeth Town 0 18.6% 12.0% 3.8% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
1 19.3% 12.4% 4.0% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
2 10.0% 6.5% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 3.5% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.9% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 44.3% · Draw 33.3% · Away win 22.3%

vtt 5 , vtd1